Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Free Prediction

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The Toronto Raptors (19-4) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (4-17) battle at Quicken Loans Arena. The Raptors are a 13-point favorite and look to lengthen their seven-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Ohio at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 1, 2018.

Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last contest. The Raptors (9.5-point favorites) beat the Golden State Warriors, 131-128, while the Cavaliers (13-point underdogs) were defeated by the Boston Celtics, 128-95. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Toronto game finished 36 points over the projected point total of 223, while the Cleveland game finished 8 points over the projected point total of 215.

The Raptors knocked down 22 of their 24 free throws (91.7 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.606 (above their season average of 0.558). Cleveland, on the other hand, did an excellent job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (28-35; 80.0 percent). Cleveland rallied around Tristan Thompson, who put up 13 points and 12 rebounds. Meanwhile, Kawhi Leonard led the way for Toronto, finishing with 37 points and eight rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Leonard led the Raptors to a 116-104 victory. He registered a double-double with 24 points and 12 rebounds. The two teams combined for 220 points, which was just over the projected point total of 215.5, and Toronto was unable to cover as a 13-point favorite. Toronto had a much better turnover percentage (8.2 vs. 13.5). Cleveland, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (29-39; 74.4 percent).

Raptors games have a tendency to finish over the total (69.6 percent). Toronto comes into the contest with records of 19-4 straight up (SU) and 12-11 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Toronto, games involving the Cavaliers have typically finished under the total (60.0 percent). Additionally, Cleveland is 4-17 SU and 10-10 ATS.

Collin Sexton has taken his game to another level as of late for Cleveland, averaging 19 points,5.8 rebounds over the last five games.

Expect Cleveland to own the offensive glass in this matchup. The Cavaliers are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking fourth in offensive rebounding percentage at 26.9 percent. Meanwhile, Toronto ranks 24th in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 75.2 percent. Moreover, the Raptors’ top-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 114.0) will go head-to-head against the Cavaliers’ 30th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 112.2).

Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Odds Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Cavaliers average 14.571428571428571 second chance points per game, which ranks 9 in the league. The Raptors rank 14 in second chance points allowed per game (13.478260869565217).
  • Toronto ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (33.7) while Cleveland ranks last (23.8).
  • The Raptors rank seventh in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (14.3).
  • Toronto ranks third in fast break points per game (19.1) while Cleveland ranks 24th (10.5).
  • Cleveland ranks 2 in rebounds allowed per game (41.80952380952381) while Toronto ranks 9 (43.47826086956522).
  • The Raptors rank seventh in assists per game (25.5) while the Cavaliers rank 29th (19.5).
  • The Raptors rank 15 in blocks per game (5.478260869565218) while the Cavaliers rank last (2.380952380952381).
  • Toronto ranks 12 in steals per game (8.173913043478262) while Cleveland ranks 14 in steals allowed per game (7.619047619047619).
  • Toronto ranks sixth in points in the paint per game (52.8) while Cleveland ranks 27th (41.5).
  • Toronto is 3-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Cleveland is 1-2.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Cavaliers are 4-8 and the Raptors are 18-4.
  • Toronto is 7-4 ATS on the road, while Cleveland is 4-6 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 6 of the Raptors’ 11 road games, while 6 of the Cavaliers’ 10 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Toronto and Cleveland are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Raptors have 5 overs over their last five games, while the Cavaliers have 3 unders and 2 overs,
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 125.4 points per game (7.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.4 points per game (5.4 above their season average).
  • The Cavaliers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.8, down from 8.2 for the season.