An eight-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Detroit Pistons (35-33) when they welcome the Toronto Raptors (49-20) to Little Caesars Arena. The game starts at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 17, 2019, and will air on Fox Sports – Detroit.
Toronto Raptors at Detroit Pistons ATS Odds
Both teams covered as favorites in their last contest. The Pistons (12.5-point favorites) defeated the Los Angeles Lakers 111-97, while the Raptors (7.5-point favorites) beat the Los Angeles Lakers 111-98. The Detroit game finished 7 points under the projected point total of 215, while the Toronto game finished 21.5 points under the projected point total of 230.5.
Toronto played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.5 (above their season average of 22.9) and a free throw rate of 0.253 (above their season average of 0.201). Los Angeles recorded marks of 13.3 and 0.176, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Detroit dominated every stat category in their game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 30.8 (above their season average of 24.3) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.529 (above their season average of 0.509). Los Angeles put up marks of 24.4 and 0.453, respectively, for those same stats. Detroit was lifted by Andre Drummond, who finished with 19 points and 23 rebounds. Kawhi Leonard, meanwhile fueled Toronto with 25 points and eight rebounds.
The Pistons have won both contests against the Raptors this year. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 219 points, just over the projected point total of 217. Detroit won 112-107, covering as a 2-point underdog. Getting to the free throw line was one of Detroit’s biggest strengths. They made 29 trips to the line, while Toronto went 24 times. Despite the loss, Kyle Lowry was the game’s leading scorer with 35 points.
Of the Raptors’ 69 games, 38 have gone over the total. Toronto is 49-20 straight up (SU), but they are just 30-37-2 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Toronto, Pistons games have a slight tendency to go under the total (52.9 percent). Moreover, Detroit owns records of 35-33 SU and 34-33-1 ATS.
Detroit might have trouble finding the bottom of the net as they battle against one of the league’s best defenses. Toronto ranks sixth in defensive efficiency, while the Pistons rank 21st in offensive efficiency.
Toronto Raptors at Detroit Pistons Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Toronto ranks fourth in fast break points per game (18.6) while Detroit ranks last (9.7).
- The Pistons rank second in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while the Raptors rank 12th (13.1).
- Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (28.0) while Toronto ranks 10th (30.6).
- Toronto averages 48.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. Detroit ranks 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (50.1).
- The Raptors rank 11th in blocks per game (5.3) while the Pistons rank 29th (3.9).
- The Raptors average 17.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Pistons rank 16th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.7).
- Toronto ranks 14th in assists per game (24.8) while Detroit ranks 26th (22.6).
- Detroit is 11-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Toronto is 12-1.
- When reaching 100 points, the Raptors are 46-14 and the Pistons are 32-20.
- Detroit is 18-16-1 ATS at home, while Toronto is 15-18-1 ATS on the road.
- The Raptors have 20 overs and 14 unders in 34 road games.
- Of the Pistons’ 35 home games, they have 19 overs and 16 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Toronto and Detroit are both 3-2 ATS.
- The Raptors have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Pistons have 4 unders and 1 over
- During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 111.8 points per game (2.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.8 points per game (1.0 below their season average).
- The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.4, up from 0.4 for the season.
