Facing each other for the third and final time this year, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the New York Islanders take the ice at Nassau Coliseum. This Eastern Conference matchup will get going at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, April 1, and it can be seen live on Sportsnet Ontario.
Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders Odds
New York (-115) is favored over Toronto (-105), and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 6 goals. If gamblers want to wager on this matchup’s total, they’ll be looking at odds of -105 for the over and -115 on the under.
Earning moneyline bettors 17.0 units, the Islanders are 46-33 straight up (SU) overall this year. That winning percentage, ranked fifth in the league so far in this young season, is a huge turnaround from what the team managed during last year’s regular season (35-47). Of the team’s 79 regular season matches, 47 have gone under the total, while 27 have gone over and just five have pushed. The team’s 24-16 SU at home this year.
New York has converted on just 14.6 percent of its power play chances this year, a mark that’s ranked 30th overall in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 22nd overall, and it’s successfully killed off 79.3 percent of all penalties.
New York, as a collective unit, has been penalized just 3.4 times per game overall this season, and 1.8 per game over its last five matchups home outings. The team has been forced to kill penalties for just 7.2 minutes per game over its last 10 outings, overall.
With a .928 save percentage and 26.5 saves per game, Robin Lehner (25-19-5) has been the primary goalkeeper for the Islanders this season. If they, however, choose to rest him, the team may turn to Thomas Greiss (25-17-17 record, .926 save percentage, 2.32 goals against average).
Mathew Barzal and Josh Bailey will each lead the offensive attack for the Islanders. Barzal (62 points) is up to 18 goals and 44 assists and has recorded two or more points in 14 different games this year. Bailey has 16 goals and 39 assists to his credit and has recorded a point in 44 contests.
Toronto is 45-33 straight up (SU) and has earned -12 units for bettors taking the moneyline thus far. 39 of its matches have gone over the total, while 35 have gone under the total and just four have pushed. Toronto’s 22-17 SU as the visiting team this season.
Toronto has converted on 21.4 percent of its power play chances this year, a mark that’s good enough for ninth-best in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 11th overall and it’s successfully defended 81.1 percent of all opponent power plays.
Toronto’s players have been penalized only 2.8 times per game in total this season, 2.6 per game over their last five match ups total, and 2.4 per game over their last five on the road. The team has had to kill penalties just 5.4 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.
Frederik Andersen (2.78 goals against average and .917 save percentage) has been the primary option in goal for Toronto. Andersen is averaging 29.8 saves per game and owns a 35-22-6 record.
Mitchell Marner (25 goals, 66 assists) has been one of the top playmakers on offense for the visiting Maple Leafs.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Betting Predictions
Prediction: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
- New York (4-5 in shootouts this season) has significantly more experience in games decided by shootout. Toronto fell short in its one shootout this season.
- For both of these teams, the total has gone over in three of their last five matchups.
- The Maple Leafs have averaged the league’s fifth-most shots on goal (33.1) and New York has attempted just the 29th-most (28.7).
- Six of Toronto’s last ten games have been decided by two goals or more. The team is 2-4 in those games.
- The Islanders this season have registered the eighth-most hits per game in the NHL (24.7).
