Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes Free Pick

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Morgan Rielly, Mitchell Marner, and the Toronto Maple Leafs are set to do battle against Sebastian Aho, Teuvo Teravainen, and the Carolina Hurricanes at PNC Arena in an Eastern Conference tilt. Sportsnet will air the action, which gets going at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes Odds

Toronto heads into the matchup as the favorite with a moneyline of -120. The line for the Hurricanes now stands at +100 and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at an even 6 goals (-105 over, -115 under).

Toronto is 15-6 straight up (SU) and has earned 5.5 units for moneyline bettors this year. 12 of its contests have gone under the total, while seven have gone over and just two have pushed. The Leafs are 9-1 SU as the road team in 2018-19.

Toronto has converted on 25.0 percent of its power play chances this year, a figure that places them in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, it has the fifth-strongest penalty kill in the league, and it has successfully killed off 83.6 percent of its penalties..

Averaging 29.7 saves per game with a .935 save percentage, Frederik Andersen (12-5) has been the primary option in goal for Toronto this year. If head coach Mike Babcock decides to rest him, however, Toronto may roll with Garret Sparks (3-1), who has a .906 save percentage and 3.20 goals against average this year.

Over on the other bench, Carolina is 9-11 straight up (SU) and has lost 6.4 units for moneyline bettors thus far. Through 20 regular season outings, 13 of its games have gone under the total, while seven have gone over and none have pushed. This season, the team’s 5-6 SU as the home team.

The Hurricanes have converted on just 15.5 percent of their power play chances this season, a mark that’s ranked 26th in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 28th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 73.8 percent of all penalties.

Scott Darling (27.8 saves per game) has been the top netminder in goal for the Hurricanes. Darling has two wins, four losses, and one OT loss to his credit and has registered a subpar .903 save percentage and 2.99 goals against average this year.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes Betting Predictions

NHL Prediction: SU Winner – Hurricanes, O/U – Over

Betting Trends

  • A majority (73.3 percent) of Toronto’s wins have come by two or more goals, and the team is 11-5 overall in such games. 4 of Carolina’s wins (44.4 percent) have been decided by two or more goals.
  • Extra-man opportunities could be critical in tonight’s game. The Maple Leafs are 6-1 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 12-6 when they serve fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Hurricanes are 3-5 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 6-8 when they’re in the box for less than 10 minutes.
  • The under has hit in three of Carolina’s last five outings.
  • Toronto has averaged 7.8 giveaways over its last five home games, an improvement from its season average of 12.3 giveaways per game (ranked 29th).
  • Carolina has averaged 13.8 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 10.4 giveaways per game (ranked 22nd overall).
  • The Hurricanes this season have recorded the third-most hits in the league (26.6 per game), but that number has risen to 33.2 over their last five home games.