Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche Free Pick 2/12/19

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John Tavares, Mitchell Marner, and the Toronto Maple Leafs are set to do battle against Mikko Rantanen, Nathan MacKinnon, and the Colorado Avalanche at the Pepsi Center for an East-West matchup. The Sports Network will broadcast the game, which gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 12.

Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche Odds

Colorado (+115) is currently the underdog to Toronto (-135) and the oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 7 goals (-120 for the over, +100 for the under).

Toronto is 34-21 straight up (SU) and has lost 0.3 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 55 regular season contests, 26 of its games have gone under the total, while 25 have gone over and just four have pushed. The Leafs are 17-9 SU as a road team in 2018-19.

Toronto has converted on 19.6 percent of its power play opportunities this season, a figure that’s right around league average. Its penalty kill is ranked 13th overall, and the team’s successfully killed off 81.4 percent of all penalties..

Averaging 30.4 saves per game with a .923 save percentage, Frederik Andersen (25-13-2) has been the top option in goal for Toronto this season. If it chooses to give him a rest, however, Toronto could roll with Garret Sparks (7-6-1), who has a .908 save percentage and 2.86 goals against average this year.

Colorado is 22-33 straight up (SU) and has lost 18.5 units for moneyline bettors thus far. 30 of its games have gone over the total, while 24 have gone under and just one has pushed. It’s 10-15 SU as the home team this year.

The Avalanche have converted on 23.4 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a mark that places it in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 26th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 76.9 percent of all penalties.

Semyon Varlamov has stopped 27.3 shots per game as the top netminder in goal for the Avalanche. Varlamov has 13 wins, 22 losses, and eight overtime losses and has registered a pedestrian 2.91 goals against average and a poor .906 save percentage this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche Free Picks

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Avalanche, O/U – Under

Betting Notes

  • Seven of Colorado’s last ten games have been decided by two or more goals, and the team is 2-5 overall in those games.
  • The Avalanche are 9-15 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 13-19 when they’re in the box for fewer than 10 total penalty minutes.
  • Toronto might have an advantage if this one comes down to the wire. The team’s 9-6 in one-goal games, while Colorado is only 4-17 in such games.
  • For both of these teams, the game went over the total in three of their past five outings.
  • Toronto is ranked 24th this season with 11.9 giveaways per game. That figure has trended upward lately, as it’s averaged 13.5 giveaways over its last 10 games and 13.8 giveaways over its last five.
  • One of the best teams when it comes to puck possession, Colorado is ranked 3rd this season with just 6.9 giveaways per game. That figure has regressed recently, as it’s averaged 8.2 giveaways over its last 10 games and 9.0 giveaways over its last five.