Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins Free Preview

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The struggling Miami Marlins are trying to avoid losing their fifth consecutive game as they play host to the Toronto Blue Jays at Marlins Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will televise this interleague matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Both teams have equal moneyline odds (-105) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Runline odds sit at +140 for betting the Blue Jays -1.5 runs and -160 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Blue Jays are 61-73 SU and are 56-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 31.9 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 53-82 SU and 69-65 ATS. The team has lost 2.3 units for moneyline bettors and 10.1 units ATS.

Miami games have had an over/under record of 67-63-4 in 2018. The Blue Jays have been a good over bet with a total record of 69-56-8.

Marco Estrada will get the start for the Blue Jays. The right-handed Estrada is 7-10 with a 5.17 ERA and 89 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins will put the ball in the left hand of Wei-Yin Chen (5-9, 4.91 ERA, 1.37 WHIP), who has 85 strikeouts and 40 walks this season. Chen did not record a start against the Blue Jays in 2017.

Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.44 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.31 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

The Miami offense has produced 3.7 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .251/.332/.413 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ batters have been led by Starlin Castro, who is slashing .289/.342/.414 with 11 home runs, 50 RBIs and 72 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.21 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.45, along with a WHIP of 1.46.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .245/.317/.429 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Justin Smoak has led Toronto’s offense. Smoak is slashing .251/.358/.472 with 22 home runs, 68 RBIs and 59 runs scored.

The Blue Jays just took the previous game in the series by a final score of six runs to five.

Toronto Blue Jays at Miami Marlins MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Toronto has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has 13 XBH over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 12 over their last 10.
  • Miami has recorded 22 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 games and 21 over its last five.