Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins Free Preview

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The Toronto Blue Jays will be squaring off against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox SportsNet Florida is in line to broadcast this interleague matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Miami (-115) is hosting this one as the favorite over Toronto (+105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Runline odds stand at -200 for picking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and +170 for the Marlins -1.5 runs.

The Marlins are 70-65 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 54-82 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 3.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.1 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 61-74 SU and have gone 56-78 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 9.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 32.9 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Miami games have had an over/under record of 68-63-4 in 2018. The Blue Jays have been a good over bet with a total record of 70-56-8.

Sean Reid-Foley will get the start for Toronto. The right-handed Reid-Foley (0-2, 8.68 ERA) has recorded nine strikeouts in 9.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins are sending Jeff Brigham to the mound. This game represents the first MLB start of the year for Brigham.

As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.41 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.33 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .266/.347/.426 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ batters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .289/.342/.414 with 11 home runs, 50 RBIs and 72 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .277/.361/.405 with 10 homers, 58 RBIs and 76 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.26 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.53 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.42, along with a K-per-9 of 8.93.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .244/.316/.428 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

First baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar continue to lead Toronto’s hitters. Smoak is slashing .251/.357/.477 with 23 home runs, 70 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Pillar (.251/.279/.416) is up to 11 homers, 51 RBIs, 54 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Marlins have lost 0.1 units and are 50-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 49 of those games, as opposed to 48 that’ve gone under against righty starters.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in just two of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • Miami has recorded 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.8 over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 10 over their last 10.