Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Matchup

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Randal Grichuk and the Toronto Blue Jays are making a road trip to Baltimore to play a divisional rival in the Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the action and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Bookmakers have placed identical -105 moneyline odds on both of these teams. If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to go under 9 runs scored, then bookmakers are teeing up -120 odds. Taking the over return even money (+100). This game currently has a runline of Blue Jays -1.5 (+140) and Orioles +1.5 (-160).

The Orioles are just 20-45 straight up (SU) and 28-37 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 11.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.4 units ATS. The Blue Jays have gone 23-42 SU this year and are 29-36 ATS. In total, the club has lost 15.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.8 units ATS.

Orioles games have had an over/under record of 30-32-3 so far in 2019. Toronto has an over/under record of 29-34-2.

Right-hander Trent Thornton is projected to start for Toronto. Thornton (1-4, 4.73 ERA) has racked up 69 strikeouts in 64.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Orioles will put the ball in the left hand of John Means (5-4, 2.67 ERA), who has 50 strikeouts and 16 walks this season as well as a 1.07 WHIP. Means did not register a start against the Blue Jays in 2018.

Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.03 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.57 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.06, along with a K-per-9 of 9.44.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .218/.286/.377 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Randal Grichuk and Freddy Galvis have paced Toronto’s offense. Grichuk is hitting .224/.282/.416 with 12 home runs, 25 RBIs and 33 runs scored. Galvis (.241/.276/.412) has produced nine homers, 25 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.9 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 5.42 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.67 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 27 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.03 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.93.

The Baltimore hitters have put up 4.0 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .196/.258/.302 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Outfielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led the Orioles’ batters this year. Mancini is slashing .299/.353/.537 with 13 home runs, 31 RBIs and 44 runs scored, and Villar’s line sits at .253/.313/.402 with seven homers, 25 RBIs, 36 runs and 12 stolen bases.

The Blue Jays have gained 3.6 units and are 11-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 8.2 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 19 that’ve cashed the under.

Blue Jays at Orioles Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in six of Baltimore’s last seven games.
  • Toronto fielders have three errors over the last 10 games, compared to 11 errors for Baltimore over its last 10.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • The Blue Jays have a total OPS of .663 this season, including an OPS of .661 against left-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .698 overall and .729 against southpaws.