Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

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The Toronto Blue Jays will be taking on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. RSN Sports is in line to broadcast this interleague matchup and the action gets going at 4:05 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (-180) is hosting this game as the favorite over Toronto (+170) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this day game at 8 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-130) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+110).

The Phillies are 28-20 SU and 23-24 ATS. They’ve gained 6.9 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.4 units against the spread (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Blue Jays have gone 24-27 SU this year and are 25-25 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 5.3 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the season and 1.9 units ATS. Toronto is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in two of those seven.

Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 20-24-3 so far in 2018. Blue Jays games have gone over 21 times, gone under 21 times and pushed on eight occasions.

Left-hander Jaime Garcia is getting the nod for Toronto. Garcia is 2-3 with a 6.28 ERA and 38 strikeouts. He has yet to face Philadelphia this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with a 3.29 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

The Phillies will send righty Aaron Nola (6-2, 2.37 ERA) to the mound. Nola has 57 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.02. Nola did not record a start against the Blue Jays in 2017.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starters have an ERA of 3.38, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.46 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

Philadelphia’s offense has produced 4.6 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .203/.284/.354 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies offense this year. Herrera is hitting .339/.401/.531 with seven home runs, 30 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez line is .275/.384/.429 with six homers, 17 RBIs, 35 runs and nine steals.

Compared to his total season slash line of .296/.376/.425, Hernandez appeared to enjoy facing lefties at home in 2017, producing .352/.410/.577 across 78 plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.30 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.14 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.72, along with a K-per-9 of 9.07.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .231/.312/.413 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Toronto’s offense has been powered by right fielder Kevin Pillar and third baseman Yangervis Solarte, who collectively have launched 15 home runs. Pillar is hitting .279/.322/.463 with four home runs, 21 RBIs, 26 runs and eight stolen bases, while Solarte is slashing .270/.332/.503 with 11 homers, 32 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

The Blue Jays have lost 0.9 units and are 13-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 3.8 units and are 7-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to six that went under the total.

Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Toronto has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.6 over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.