Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays will face off against their division rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park in a Sunday showdown. New England Sports Network will be airing the action and the game will get going at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Odds
Las Vegas has Toronto (+155) as the underdog to Boston (-165). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to finish below 9.5 runs, then Vegas is currently offering even money odds (+100) for the under. Picking the over can give you -120 odds. This game currently has a runline of Blue Jays +1.5 (-140) and Red Sox -1.5 (+120).
The Red Sox are 42-36 straight up (SU) and 34-43 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 10.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.8 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 28-49 SU and have gone 33-43 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 17.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.9 units ATS. Toronto’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Red Sox games have an over/under record of 42-32-3 so far in 2019. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 37-36-3.
Right-hander Marcus Stroman will get the start for the visiting Blue Jays. Stroman is 4-9 with a 3.23 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Boston this year.
The Red Sox will put the ball in the right hand of Rick Porcello (5-6, 4.31 ERA, 1.30 WHIP), who’s got 74 strikeouts and 25 walks this season. Porcello is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Toronto this year.
Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.21 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.38 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.46, along with a K-per-9 of 9.46.
The Blue Jays offense has slashed .224/.294/.391 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Toronto’s hitters have been paced by Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk. Galvis is slashing .261/.297/.431 with 11 home runs, 34 RBIs and 33 runs scored. Grichuk (.224/.283/.417) is up to 14 homers, 31 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
For the home team, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.44 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.00 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 10.6 K/9. In 32 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 4.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.56.
The Boston hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .284/.349/.433 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .309/.361/.503 with 12 home runs, 48 RBIs, 54 runs and eight steals, while Bogaerts has put up a line of .298/.389/.533 with 14 homers, 51 RBIs and 59 runs.
The Blue Jays have lost 17.6 units and are 21-29 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 0.7 units and are 27-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 30 of those games, compared to 23 that went under.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in five of Toronto’s last seven outings.
- Boston has recorded 30.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 29.2 over its last five.
- The Blue Jays have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 18 over their last 10.
- The Blue Jays have a team OPS of .685 this season and an OPS of .680 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .792 overall and .808 against righties.
