Expect a shootout when the Toledo Rockets (19-4, 7-3 MAC) take on the Bowling Green Falcons (16-6, 8-1 MAC) at Stroh Center. Action starts at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 9, 2019.
Toledo Rockets vs. Bowling Green Falcons ATS Odds
Both teams defeated their last opponent. The Falcons defeated the Western Michigan Broncos 85-72, while the Rockets beat the Akron Zips 63-52.
Toledo’s 0.450 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Akron, who had a rate of 0.305. The Rockets’ mark was below their season average of 0.534, while the Zips’ was below their season average of 0.496. Meanwhile, Bowling Green dominated nearly every facet of their game. They had a turnover percentage of 12.8 (better than their season average of 14.6) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 33.0). Western Michigan recorded marks of 26.7 and 26.7, respectively, for those same stats. Bowling Green was led by Antwon Lillard, who put up 27 points and 11 rebounds. Jaelan Sanford, meanwhile had a good game for Toledo, contributing 17 points and six rebounds.
The Rockets won the only contest between these two teams last season, 101-75. The Rockets’ 34.8 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Falcons, who had a mark of 22.5. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Expect this one to be a clinic on boxing out as two of the NCAA’s top rebounding teams battle. The Falcons rank 57th in offensive rebounding percentage (33.1 percent), while Toledo ranks 43rd in defensive rebounding percentage (75.2 percent).
Toledo Rockets vs. Bowling Green Falcons ATS Pick
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Bowling Green, ATS Winner – Bowling Green, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Toledo ranks 41st in three pointers attempted per game (26.3) while Bowling Green ranks 257th in three pointers allowed per game (26.1).
- The Rockets rank 42nd in blocks per game (4.3) while the Falcons rank 162nd (2.5).
- Bowling Green ranks 87th in steals per game (6.8) while Toledo ranks 93rd in steals allowed per game (6.1).
- The Falcons average 42.7 rebounds per game, which ranks third in the NCAA. The Rockets rank 166th in rebounds allowed per game (35.3).
- Toledo ranks 14th in assists per game (17.1) while Bowling Green ranks 136th (13.6).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 71.8 points per game (6.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 65.8 points per game (1.8 below their season average).
- The Falcons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.4, up from 8.8 for the season.
