Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers ATS Prediction 04/08/19

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The No. 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders (31-6) square off against the No. 1 Virginia Cavaliers (34-3) in the National Championship at U.S. Bank Stadium. The Red Raiders opened as a 1-point underdog. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 118 points and action starts at 9:20 p.m. ET on Monday, April 8, 2019.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers Betting Odds

Both teams were triumphant in their last game. The Cavaliers barely escaped the No. 5 Auburn Tigers 63-62, while the Red Raiders beat the No. 2 Michigan State Spartans 61-51.

The Red Raiders had a turnover percentage of 11.0 (better than their season average of 16.2) and held the Spartans to an effective field goal percentage of 0.394 (below their season average of 0.555). Meanwhile, Virginia’s 0.559 effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Auburn, who had a rate of 0.464. The Cavaliers’ mark was above their season average of 0.552, while the Tigers’ was below their season average of 0.545. Ty Jerome fueled Virginia with 21 points, nine rebounds and six assists. Matt Mooney played well for Texas Tech, recording 22 points.

Of the Red Raiders’ 37 games, 21 have finished under the total. Texas Tech comes into the game with records of 31-6 straight up (SU) and 20-16-1 against the spread (ATS).

A little over half of Cavaliers games have also finished under the O/U total. Additionally, Virginia is 34-3 SU and 25-12 ATS.

This matchup pits one of the NCAA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses as Virginia ranks sixth in offensive efficiency and Texas Tech is first in defensive efficiency.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers ATS Pick

Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Texas Tech, ATS Winner – Texas Tech, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Virginia ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while Texas Tech ranks 143rd (6.3).
  • The Cavaliers allow the seventh-fewest rebounds per game (29.6) while the Red Raiders rank 55th (32.6).
  • Virginia leads the nation with 8.8 assists allowed per game while Texas Tech is fifth with 9.6 assists allowed per game.
  • The Red Raiders rank 13th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Cavaliers rank 81st (3.9).
  • Virginia ranks 211th in three pointers attempted per game (21.3) while Texas Tech ranks 265th (19.7).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Red Raiders have scored an average of 69.8 points per game (2.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 55.8 points per game (3.0 below their season average).
  • The Cavaliers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.4, down from 15.5 for the season.