Texas State Bobcats vs. Little Rock Trojans ATS Prediction 02/16/19

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The Texas State Bobcats (20-5, 9-3 SBC) will be at the Jack Stephens Center to go head-to-head against the Little Rock Trojans (10-15, 5-7 SBC) in a SBC matchup. Action gets underway at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 16, 2019.

Texas State Bobcats at Little Rock Trojans Betting Odds

Both teams defeated their last opponent. The Trojans defeated the UT Arlington Mavericks 56-52, while the Bobcats beat the Arkansas State Red Wolves 84-74.

Texas State played a nearly perfect game. They had a fantastically low turnover percentage of 6.9 (better than their season average of 16.9) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 42.9 (above their season average of 32.7). Arkansas State was 11.5 and 29.7, respectively, for those same stats. The Trojans, meanwhile, made 12 of their 17 free throws (70.6 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 36.1 (above their season average of 24.6). Rayjon Tucker led the way for Little Rock, putting up 11 points and 10 rebounds. Alonzo Sule, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Texas State with 18 points and 10 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Tre’Larenz Nottingham led the Bobcats to an 80-62 victory. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 24 points. The Bobcats’ 19.2 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Trojans, who had a mark of 7.4.

This matchup pits one of the country’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Little Rock currently ranks 31st in effective field goal percentage (0.552) and Texas State is 21st in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.457).

Texas State at Little Rock Odds Pick

Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Little Rock, ATS Winner – Little Rock, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Texas State ranks 15th in assists allowed per game (10.3) while Little Rock ranks 190th (14.2).
  • The Bobcats rank 40th in rebounds per game (38.3) while the Trojans rank 164th (34.9).
  • Little Rock ranks 33rd in steals allowed per game (5.3) while Texas State ranks 109th (6.2).
  • The Bobcats rank 82nd in three pointers allowed per game (20.8) while the Trojans rank 254th (25.5).
  • Little Rock ranks 33rd in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while Texas State ranks 160th (4.0).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Bobcats have been outscored by an average of 0.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Texas State has defeated opponents by an average of 11.0 points.
  • During their last five games, the Trojans have scored an average of 73.8 points per game (2.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 70.2 points per game (5.6 below their season average).