Texas State Bobcats vs. Georgia State Panthers ATS Prediction 03/16/19

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The Texas State Bobcats (24-8, 13-6 SBC) take on the Georgia State Panthers (22-9, 13-5 SBC) in the Sun Belt Conference Tourney at Lakefront Arena. The game starts at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 16, 2019.

Texas State Bobcats vs. Georgia State Panthers ATS Odds

Both teams were victorious over their last opponent. The Panthers defeated the Georgia Southern Eagles 90-85, while the Bobcats beat the South Alabama Jaguars 79-67.

Texas State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an extraordinary offensive rebounding percentage of 45.5 (above their season average of 33.3) and a turnover percentage of 14.7 (better than their season average of 16.6). South Alabama was 18.5 and 26.6, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Georgia State played a nearly flawless game. They had a solid turnover percentage of 9.6 (better than their season average of 14.9) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.563 (above their season average of 0.555). For those same stats, Georgia Southern put up marks of 13.9 and 0.478, respectively. Malik Benlevi played well for Georgia State with 18 points and 10 rebounds. Texas State was led by Alex Peacock, who contributed 17 points and nine rebounds.

Looking at effective field goal percentage, this appears to be a balanced contest. The elite Georgia State offense ranks 23rd in the NCAA in that metric at 0.556, while the elite Texas State defense is ranked 36th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.473). Furthermore, the Bobcats rank 38th in offensive rebounding percentage (33.7 percent), while the Panthers rank 344th in defensive rebounding percentage (65.9 percent).

Texas State Bobcats vs. Georgia State Panthers Betting Pick

College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Georgia State, ATS Winner – Georgia State, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Texas State ranks 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (31.6) while Georgia State ranks 268th (38.7).
  • The Panthers rank 21st in blocks per game (4.7) while the Bobcats rank 191st (2.4).
  • Georgia State ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (5.0) while Texas State ranks 98th (6.0).
  • The Bobcats rank 24th in assists allowed per game (10.7) while the Panthers rank 242nd (15.2).
  • Texas State ranks 83rd in three pointers allowed per game (20.8) while Georgia State ranks 288th (27.0).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Panthers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.2, up from 3.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Bobcats have scored an average of 67.4 points per game (5.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.2 points per game (1.9 above their season average).