The TCU Horned Frogs (23-13, 8-12 Big 12) will be 1-point favorites in the NIT at Madison Square Garden when they meet the Texas Longhorns (19-16, 8-11 Big 12). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 137.5 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 2, 2019.
Texas Longhorns vs. TCU Horned Frogs ATS Odds
Both teams easily covered as favorites in their last contest. The Horned Frogs (3.5-point favorites) defeated the Creighton Bluejays 71-58, while the Longhorns (5-point favorites) beat the Colorado Buffaloes 68-55. The TCU game finished 22.5 points under the projected point total of 151.5, while the Texas game went 15 points under the projected point total of 138.
Texas dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.8 (better than their season average of 14.3) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.492 (below their season average of 0.509). Colorado was 18.2 and 0.364, respectively, for those same stats. The Horned Frogs, on the other hand, made 12 of their 16 free throws (75.0 percent) and held the Bluejays to an effective field goal percentage of 0.440 (below their season average of 0.574). Kouat Noi fueled TCU with 25 points and seven rebounds. Dylan Osetkowski played well for Texas, finishing with 15 points and five rebounds.
Of the Longhorns’ 35 games, 21 have gone under the total. Texas heads into the game with records of 19-16 straight up (SU) and 16-19 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Horned Frogs’ 36 games, 19 have finished over the total. Additionally, TCU is 23-13 SU and 18-18 ATS.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, TCU figures to have a substantial edge. The Horned Frogs defense ranks 85th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.484), while the Texas offense is ranked 186th in effective field goal percentage (0.508).
Texas Longhorns vs. TCU Horned Frogs Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Texas, ATS Winner – Texas, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Texas ranks 44th in assists allowed per game (11.3) while TCU ranks 267th (15.3).
- The Longhorns rank 29th in steals allowed per game (5.1) while the Horned Frogs rank 122nd (6.1).
- Texas averages 25.2 three pointers per game, which ranks 69th in the country. TCU ranks 125th in three pointers allowed per game (21.7).
- The Longhorns average 4.1 blocks per game, which ranks 63rd in the nation. The Horned Frogs rank 202nd in blocks allowed per game (3.9).
- TCU ranks 123rd in rebounds per game (36.2) while Texas ranks 227th (34.0).
Bettings Trends:
- The Horned Frogs are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Longhorns are 1-4.
- In their last five games, TCU has 4 overs and 1 under, while Texas has 4 unders and 1 over.
- During their last five games, the Horned Frogs have scored an average of 75.0 points per game (2.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 67.8 points per game (0.2 below their season average).
- The Longhorns have scored an equal number of points as their opponents. For the season, Texas has defeated opponents by an average of 4.0 points.
