Texas Longhorns at Texas Tech Red Raiders ATS Prediction 03/04/19

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The 11th-ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders (24-5, 12-4 Big 12) wrap up their home schedule at United Supermarkets Arena against the Texas Longhorns (16-13, 8-8 Big 12). The game can be seen on ESPN at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, March 4, 2019.

Texas Longhorns at Texas Tech Red Raiders ATS Odds

Both teams beat their last opponent. The Red Raiders defeated the TCU Horned Frogs 81-66, while the Longhorns beat the Iowa State Cyclones 86-69.

Texas dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.689 (above their season average of 0.513) and a turnover percentage of 11.8 (better than their season average of 14.7). For those same stats, Iowa State had marks of 0.509 and 13.8, respectively. Meanwhile, Texas Tech’s 0.638 effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over TCU, who had a mark of 0.460. The Red Raiders’ mark was above their season average of 0.533, while the Horned Frogs’ was below their season average of 0.523. Texas Tech received a boost from Tariq Owens, who put up 12 points and 13 rebounds. Jase Febres, meanwhile had a good game for Texas, putting up 26 points.

In their first matchup this season, Matt Mooney led the Red Raiders to a 68-62 victory. He was the game’s leading scorer with 22 points. Texas Tech’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Texas. The Red Raiders had a rate of 0.241, while the Longhorns posted a mark of 0.158.

Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the NCAA’s slowest-paced teams square off. Texas Tech ranks 281st in possessions per game (67.1) and Texas is 294th (66.7). Additionally, the Longhorns commit the 59th-fewest errors in the country (turnover percentage of 16.8 percent), while the gambling defense of the Red Raiders causes the 13th-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 23.6 percent).

Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Texas Tech, ATS Winner – Texas Tech, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Texas ranks 60th in three pointers attempted per game (25.4) while Texas Tech ranks 251st (19.6).
  • The Red Raiders rank 17th in blocks allowed per game (2.4) while the Longhorns rank 94th (3.2).
  • Texas Tech ranks third in assists allowed per game (9.4) while Texas ranks 41st (11.2).
  • The Longhorns rank 30th in steals allowed per game (5.3) while the Red Raiders rank 141st (6.5).
  • Texas Tech ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (31.7) while Texas ranks 125th (34.4).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Longhorns’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.8, down from 5.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Red Raiders have scored an average of 84.0 points per game (11.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 63.8 points per game (5.4 above their season average).