SEC foes will clash when the Missouri Tigers (17-8, 7-5 SEC) take on the No. 21 Texas A&M Aggies (17-8, 6-6 SEC) at Mizzou Arena. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 138.5 points with Missouri set as a 1-point favorite. Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 13, 2018.
Texas A&M Aggies at Missouri Tigers ATS Preview
The last time the Aggies played, they defeated the No. 24 Kentucky Wildcats, 85-74. With 16 points and 10 rebounds, Texas A&M’s D.J. Hogg put together a solid game. Texas A&M played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.212 (above their season average of 0.202) and a turnover percentage of 10.6 (better than their season average of 16.9). For those same stats, Kentucky recorded marks of 0.121 and 14.0, respectively.
The Tigers come in on a high note after beating the Mississippi State Bulldogs in their last outing, 89-85. Missouri was lifted by Kassius Robertson, who was the top scorer from either team with 22 points on 6-for-13 shooting. The Tigers knocked down 23 of their 28 free throws (82.1 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.589 (above their season average of 0.546).
This matchup pits one of the nations top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Missouri ranks 50th in effective field goal percentage (0.548) and Texas A&M is 12th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.456).
Of Texas A&M’s 22 games with betting action, 11 have finished over the projected point total, while 13 of Missouri’s 23 games have finished under the projected point total. Both teams have respectable straight up (SU) records (17-8 for Texas A&M; 17-8 for Missouri), but the Tigers have the edge against the spread (ATS). Missouri is 13-11 ATS, while the Aggies are 11-11.
Robertson has really been playing well over the last five games for Missouri, averaging 21.2 points and 3.2 assists per game.
These teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to put up 109 points in that game, which was well under the projected point total of 137. The Aggies won 60-49, covering as 5-point favorites. The Aggies dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 5.5 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.4. The Tigers were 11.3 and 16.3, respectively, for those same stats. Tyler Davis put up a double-double in the victory with 11 points and 14 rebounds.
Texas A&M Aggies at Missouri Tigers ATS Prediction
Free Pick: SU Winner – Missouri, ATS Winner – Texas A&M, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Tigers rank 35th in rebounds allowed per game (31.8) while the Aggies rank 135th (34.6).
- Missouri is 6-6 ATS at home, while Texas A&M is 6-5 ATS on the road.
- The Aggies have 6 overs and 5 unders in 11 road games.
- In 12 home games, the Tigers have 6 unders and 5 overs.
- Missouri ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (11.0) while Texas A&M ranks 181st (14.2).
- The Tigers rank 80th in three pointers attempted per game (24.0) while the Aggies rank 218th in three pointers allowed per game (23.7).
- Missouri averages 4.6 blocks per game, which ranks 34th in the nation. Texas A&M ranks 170th in blocks allowed per game (4.2).
Betting Trends:
- Missouri is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in their last five games.
- Over their last five games, Texas A&M is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Tigers average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, down from 6.8 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Aggies have scored an average of 79.4 points per game (3.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 71.8 points per game (3.5 above their season average).
