Expect a defensive struggle when the TCU Horned Frogs (13-10, 4-6 Big 12), 9-point underdogs, challenge the Texas Tech Red Raiders (15-8, 6-4 Big 12) at United Supermarkets Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 125.5 points and it can be seen on ESPN2 at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020.
TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders ATS Odds
In the Red Raiders’ last matchup, they covered the 2.5-point spread against the Texas Longhorns, 62-57. The Horned Frogs, meanwhile, were defeated by the third-ranked Kansas Jayhawks, 60-46, and were unable to cover as 8-point underdogs. The Texas Tech game finished 10 points under the projected point total of 129, while the TCU game went 25 points under the projected point total of 131.
The Red Raiders knocked down 17 of their 22 free throws (77.3 percent) and held the Longhorns to an effective field goal percentage of 0.403 (below their season average of 0.512). TCU, meanwhile, held Kansas to an effective field goal percentage of 0.448 (below their season average of 0.547). Jahmi’us Ramsey played well for Texas Tech, contributing 18 points. Desmond Bane fueled TCU with 20 points and five rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Bane led the Horned Frogs to a 65-54 victory. He scored a game-high 27 points. The two teams combined to put up 119 points, which was under the projected point total of 126.5, and TCU covered as a 2.5-point underdog. TCU’s free throw rate was their largest strength over Texas Tech. The Horned Frogs had a rate of 0.224, while the Red Raiders posted a mark of 0.118.
Of the Horned Frogs’ 22 games that accepted bets, 14 have finished under the total. TCU holds records of 13-10 straight up (SU) and 7-15 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike TCU, games involving the Red Raiders have a slight tendency to finish over the total (50.0 percent). Additionally, Texas Tech is 15-8 SU and 10-12 ATS.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Texas Tech figures to have a considerable advantage. The Red Raiders defense ranks 58th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.462), while the TCU offense is ranked 176th in effective field goal percentage (0.500). Ball protection could be troublesome for the Horned Frogs. They rank 308th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 21.3 percent), while the Red Raiders force the 26th-most turnovers in the nation (opponents’ turnover percentage of 23.3 percent).
TCU at Texas Tech ATS Pick
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – TCU, ATS Winner – TCU, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Texas Tech ranks 22nd in assists allowed per game (10.1) while TCU ranks 248th (15.3).
- The Horned Frogs rank 48th in three pointers allowed per game (19.0) while the Red Raiders rank 69th (19.7).
- The Red Raiders rank 61st in blocks per game (4.0) while the Horned Frogs rank 135th in blocks allowed per game (3.6).
- TCU averages 7.5 steals per game, which ranks 60th in the country. Texas Tech ranks 86th in steals allowed per game (6.0).
- Texas Tech is 5-7 ATS at home, while TCU is 2-6 ATS on the road.
- The Horned Frogs have 5 unders and 3 overs in 8 road games.
- The Red Raiders have 7 overs and 5 unders in 12 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Red Raiders are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Horned Frogs are 0-5.
- In their last five games, Texas Tech has 3 overs and 2 unders, while TCU has 4 unders and 1 over.
- During their last five games, the Red Raiders have scored an average of 73.8 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 70.6 points per game (6.9 above their season average).
- The Horned Frogs have been outscored by an average of 11.4 points in their last five games. On the season, TCU has defeated opponents by an average of 3.2 points.
