Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners Free Pick

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The Tampa Bay Rays are ready to face the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. This AL showdown starts at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on RTNW and SUN.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Seattle (-110) as the favorite over Tampa Bay (+100). Gamblers can bet on the games total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8 runs and -110 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds coming in at Rays +1.5 runs (-210) and Mariners -1.5 runs (+175).

The Rays are 28-29 SU and have gone 29-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.6 units for moneyline bettors and 1.0 unit ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 36-22 SU and 30-27 ATS. The teams gained 10.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.6 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Neither squad has established itself as an obvious over/under play this season. Mariners games have a 29-28 over/under record so far in 2018. Tampa Bay has an over/under record of 26-28-2.

Blake Snell is getting the start for the visiting Rays. The left-handed Snell is 7-3 with a 2.56 ERA and 76 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and eight strikeouts over seven innings).

The Mariners are turning to righty Felix Hernandez (5-4, 5.83 ERA), who has 55 strikeouts and 28 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.40. Hernandez did not record a start against the Rays in 2017.

Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.99 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.39 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.91, along with a K-per-9 of 8.34.

The Rays offense has slashed .259/.332/.399 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

First baseman C.J. Cron and catcher Wilson Ramos have led Tampa Bay’s hitters. Cron is slashing .267/.329/.471 with 12 home runs, 32 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Ramos (.301/.346/.466) has produced seven homers, 29 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 3.55 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.5 K/9.

The Seattle offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The teams hit .301/.356/.462 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Dee Gordon have led the charge for the Mariners offense this year. Segura is slashing .336/.356/.478 with four home runs, 37 RBIs, 43 runs and 12 stolen bases, while Gordon’s line is .291/.316/.377 with 58 hits, 13 RBIs, 26 runs and 18 steals.

The Rays have lost 2.8 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 1.4 units and are 10-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs cashed in eight of those games, compared to 11 that went under the total.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Tampa Bay defense has allowed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to zero errors for Seattle over its last 10.
  • The Rays have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.