Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick

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The Miami Marlins are playing host to the Tampa Bay Rays at Marlins Park. Fox Sports Sun will broadcast this interleague matchup and the action gets going at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Odds

The Marlins are 46-40 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 35-52 straight up (SU). They’ve gained 1.4 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 3.3 units (ATS). The Rays are 43-42 SU and have gone 49-35 ATS. In total, the teams accumulated 6.8 units for moneyline bettors and 13.8 units ATS.

Marlins games have an over/under record of 43-41-2 so far in 2018. The Rays have been a decent under bet with a total record of 34-47-3.

Matt Andriese will get the nod for the visiting Rays. The right-handed Andriese (1-3, 3.86 ERA) has racked up 43 strikeouts in 48 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.

The Marlins will turn to righty Jose Urena (2-9, 4.40 ERA), who has 75 punchouts and 21 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.19. Urena has yet to face the Rays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall this season. The clubs starters have an ERA of 4.67, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.68 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Miami hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .263/.319/.371 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Marlins batters have been led by Starlin Castro, who is hitting .288/.336/.394 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.78 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.58 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.43, along with a K/9 of 8.09.

The Rays offense has slashed .251/.324/.384 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

Matt Duffy has led Tampa Bay’s hitters. Duffy is hitting .315/.362/.420 with four home runs, 25 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

The Rays just took the previous game in this series by a final score of nine runs to six.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in four of Miami’s last seven games.
  • The Rays have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
  • Tampa Bay has averaged 22.7 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.
  • The Rays have won four of their last five games SU.