Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Betting Preview

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The Tampa Bay Rays will be taking on the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox Sports Sun will be televising this interleague matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins Odds

The Marlins are 45-40 against the spread (ATS), but only 35-51 straight up (SU). They’ve gained 0.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.3 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. On the other hand, the Rays are 42-42 SU and have gone 49-34 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 8.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 14.8 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Miami games have an over/under record of 43-40-2 thus far in 2018. Tampa Bay has been a decent under bet with a total record of 34-46-3.

Left-hander Ryan Yarbrough is getting the nod for Tampa Bay. Yarbrough is 7-4 with a 3.76 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins are turning to Trevor Richards (2-5, 5.06 ERA), who’s got 43 punchouts and 22 walks as well as a 1.48 WHIP. Richards did not accrue any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The teams starters have an ERA of 4.64, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.70 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

Miami’s hitters have put up 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .269/.309/.380 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins hitters this year. Castro is hitting .288/.335/.396 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 50 runs scored, and Anderson’s line sits at .285/.361/.406 with five homers, 40 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

For the visitors, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.77 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.58 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.45, along with a K-per-9 of 8.18.

The Rays offense has slashed .249/.322/.382 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Matt Duffy and catcher Wilson Ramos have paced Tampa Bay’s offense. Duffy is slashing .315/.359/.422 with four home runs, 25 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Ramos is hitting .290/.336/.459 with 11 homers, 43 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

The Marlins have gained 1.4 units and are 16-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 12 that’ve gone under against lefty starters.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in only two of Miami’s last seven games.
  • The Marlins have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Tampa Bay has posted 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.6 over its last five.
  • The Rays have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 11 over their last 10.