Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

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Tommy Pham and the Tampa Bay Rays are preparing to square off against their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park in a Saturday showdown. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the matchup and the game will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Rays have gone 21-11 SU this year and are 20-11 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 8.3 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 11-22 SU and 13-19 ATS. The team has lost 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.7 units ATS.

Orioles games have an over/under record of 19-12-1 so far in 2019. Rays games have gone under 17 times, gone over 13 times and pushed on one occasion.

Right-hander Ryne Stanek is getting the start for the visiting Rays. Stanek is 0-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles are putting the ball in the hands of righty Dylan Bundy (0-4, 6.67 ERA), who has 34 strikeouts and 13 walks as well as a 1.52 WHIP. Bundy is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Tampa Bay this year.

Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.48 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 10.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.48, along with a K/9 of 9.39.

Rays hitters have slashed .256/.337/.438 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Tommy Pham and second baseman Brandon Lowe have led Tampa Bay’s hitters. Pham is slashing .305/.415/.458 with four home runs, 14 RBIs, 14 runs and six stolen bases, while Lowe (.311/.368/.594) has produced seven homers, 19 RBIs and 20 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 6.3 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.68 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.19 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 17 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.02 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.35.

Baltimore’s hitters have produced 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .234/.292/.357 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ hitters have been led by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is slashing .331/.385/.576 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Villar’s line is .274/.331/.415 with three homers, 11 RBIs, 20 runs and seven stolen bases.

The Rays have lost 2.0 units and are 13-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to nine that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Orioles have netted 1.8 units and are 10-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 13 of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.

Rays at Orioles Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in just two of Baltimore’s last seven games.
  • The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games SU.
  • The Tampa Bay defense has permitted four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 12 errors for Baltimore over its last 10.
  • The Rays have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 10 over their last 10.
  • The Rays have a total OPS of .776 this season and an OPS of .798 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .696 overall and .694 against righties.