The Tampa Bay Rays are set to square off against their division rival Baltimore Orioles in a Sunday showdown. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
The Orioles are 12-22 straight up (SU) and 13-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.1 units for moneyline bettors and 8.7 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, have gone 21-12 SU this year and are 21-11 ATS. Overall, the club has gained 4.3 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 9.3 units ATS. Tampa Bay’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Orioles games have an over/under record of 19-13-1 so far in 2019. The Rays have an over/under record of 13-18-1.
The right-handed Ryne Stanek will get the start for the visiting Rays. Stanek is 0-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles are countering with John Means (3-3, 2.81 ERA). Means has 25 punchouts and seven walks, along with a 1.17 WHIP. Means is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.
Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 6.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 5.41 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.11 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 18 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 4.57 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.21.
The Baltimore offense has put up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .253/.310/.376 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led the Orioles’ offense this year. Mancini is slashing .336/.388/.574 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Villar’s line is .273/.329/.417 with three homers, 12 RBIs, 21 runs and seven steals.
In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 3.1 runs per game and its starters own a 2.53 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 9.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.47, along with a WHIP of 0.96.
The Rays offense has slashed .252/.334/.432 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Tampa Bay’s hitters have been led by left fielder Tommy Pham and second baseman Brandon Lowe, who have combined to blast 11 home runs. Pham is slashing .295/.404/.443 with four home runs, 14 RBIs, 14 runs and six steals. Lowe (.309/.364/.582) has produced seven homers, 19 RBIs and 20 runs scored.
The Rays have gained 5.3 units and are 7-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against righties.
Rays at Orioles Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in just two of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
- The Rays have an OPS of .766 this season, including an OPS of .702 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .695 overall and .698 against lefties.
- Baltimore has recorded 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.6 over its last five.
- The Rays have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
