The Tampa Bay Rays will be taking on the New York Mets at Citi Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will broadcast this interleague matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Mets Odds
Vegas has listed Tampa Bay (-115) as the favorite over New York (+105). The total sits at 7 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -105 and the under for -115. Gamblers can also bet on the games runline with the odds sitting at +130 for the Rays -1.5 runs and -150 for the Mets +1.5.
The Rays have gone 43-44 SU this year and are 50-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.4 units for moneyline bettors and 13.8 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 35-49 SU and 34-48 ATS. They’ve lost 17.6 units for moneyline bettors and 20.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Mets games have had an over/under record of 35-43-4 so far in 2018. The Rays have also been a good under bet with a total record of 35-48-3.
Blake Snell will get the start for the visiting Rays. The southpaw Snell is 11-4 with a 2.24 ERA and 123 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets will turn to lefty Steven Matz (4-5, 3.46 ERA), who’s got 76 strikeouts and 32 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Matz did not record a start against the Rays in 2017.
Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.74 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.66 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.48, along with a K-per-9 of 8.06.
The Rays offense has slashed .249/.323/.381 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).
Tampa Bay’s offense has been fueled by third baseman Matt Duffy and catcher Wilson Ramos. Duffy is slashing .310/.356/.413 with four home runs, 25 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Ramos has a .287 average with 12 homers, 45 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The clubs starters have a 3.94 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .215/.312/.417 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets batters this year. Cabrera is hitting .283/.331/.486 with 15 home runs, 49 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .238/.282/.352 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 29 runs.
The Rays have gained 5.8 units and are 18-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 5.7 units and are 11-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 10 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve cashed the under.
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Mets Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
- The over has cashed in just two of New York’s last seven games.
- The Rays have dropped three of their last four games SU.
- Tampa Bay has recorded 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.