Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Matchup

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The Baltimore Orioles will play host to their AL East rival Tampa Bay Rays at Oriole Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Vegas is listing Baltimore (+180) as the underdog to Tampa Bay (-190). If you think this game’s total will go under 9 runs, Vegas is currently offering -115 odds. Picking the over will give you -105 odds. The game’s current runline odds stand at -135 for taking the Rays -1.5 runs and +115 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.

The Rays have gone 20-11 SU this year and are 19-11 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 7.3 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 11-21 SU and 13-19 ATS. They’ve lost 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.7 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have an over/under record of 19-12-1 so far in 2019. The Rays have an over/under record of 13-16-1.

Right-hander Tyler Glasnow is getting the start for the visiting Rays. Glasnow (5-0, 1.75 ERA) has recorded 38 strikeouts in 36 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles are going with righty Dan Straily (1-1, 6.75 ERA), who has nine strikeouts and seven walks, along with a 1.66 WHIP. Straily hasn’t faced the Rays yet this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and three strikeouts across seven innings).

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have yielded 6.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.54 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.27 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 16 games against divisional opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 4.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.52.

The Baltimore hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .246/.302/.371 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Orioles’ offense has been led by outfielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is slashing .342/.397/.596 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Villar is batting .275 with three homers, 11 RBIs, 20 runs and seven stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.2 runs per game and its starters own a 2.60 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 10.02 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.53, along with a K/9 of 9.40.

The Rays offense has slashed .253/.333/.434 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Tampa Bay’s offense has been powered by outfielder Tommy Pham and second baseman Brandon Lowe, who collectively have swatted 11 home runs. Pham is slashing .289/.401/.439 with four home runs, 12 RBIs, 14 runs and six stolen bases, while Lowe (.304/.357/.588) has produced seven homers, 19 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

The Rays have lost 2.0 units and are 13-9 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have netted 1.8 units and are 10-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Baltimore has 13 XBH over its last five.
  • The Rays have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 10 over their last 10.
  • The Rays have an OPS of .767 this season and an OPS of .789 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .706 overall and .709 versus righties.
  • Tampa Bay has posted 18.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.