It figures to be a low-scoring affair as the Stony Brook Seawolves (17-4, 5-1 AmEast) travel to UMBC to play the Retrievers (13-9, 5-2 AmEast). Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 30, 2019.
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. UMBC Retrievers Betting Odds
In their last contest, the Retrievers were victorious over the New Hampshire Wildcats, 59-51, while the Seawolves were blown out by the Vermont Catamounts, 73-52.
UMBC played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.196 (below their season average of 0.207) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.8 (below their season average of 26.9). New Hampshire was 0.000 and 11.8, respectively, for those same stats. Stony Brook, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (21.1 vs. 26.3). UMBC’s KJ Jackson had a good game, recording 21 points and five rebounds. Meanwhile, Stony Brook was lifted by Andrew Garcia, who had 14 points and five rebounds.
This series was highly contested last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. In the last contest, the Seawolves won 64-57. Stony Brook’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over UMBC. The Seawolves had a rate of 0.271, while the Retrievers posted a mark of 0.145. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.
The ineffective offense of UMBC (254th in the country with an offensive efficiency of 101.9) will go head-to-head against the stingy defense of Stony Brook (49th in the nation with a defensive efficiency of 95.6). The Seawolves should have the advantage on that end of the court. Additionally, the Seawolves rank 301st in turnover percentage (21.3 percent), while the Retrievers rank 15th in opponents’ turnover percentage (24.2 percent).
Stony Brook vs. UMBC Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – UMBC, ATS Winner – UMBC, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Stony Brook ranks 16th in rebounds per game (40.6) while UMBC ranks 201st (34.4).
- The Retrievers rank 114th in assists per game (13.9) while the Seawolves rank 230th (11.0).
- UMBC averages 24.5 three pointers per game, which ranks 86th in the country. Stony Brook ranks 199th in three pointers allowed per game (23.9).
- The Retrievers rank 32nd in steals per game (8.0) while the Seawolves rank 169th (5.6).
- Stony Brook ranks 40th in blocks per game (4.4) while UMBC ranks 172nd (2.2).
Bettings Trends:
- The Retrievers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.0, up from 5.3 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Seawolves have scored an average of 60.8 points per game (10.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 58.0 points per game (8.5 below their season average).
