Paul DeJong and the slumping St. Louis Cardinals will take the field against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in a Thursday matinee. NBC Sports Philadelphia will be airing this NL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Sportsbooks have St. Louis (+110) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-120). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go under 10 runs, then bookmakers are offering -110 odds. Picking the over can return -110 odds. There’s a runline of Cardinals +1.5 (-190) and Phillies -1.5 (+165) for this matchup.
The Cardinals are 26-28 SU and are 28-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.3 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 3.1 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 33-22 SU and 28-26 ATS. They’ve gained 6.2 units for moneyline bettors and 0.9 units ATS.
Philadelphia games have a 25-28-1 over/under record so far in 2019. St. Louis has an over/under record of 25-24-4.
The right-handed Dakota Hudson is the probable starter for St. Louis. Hudson is 3-3 with a 4.22 ERA and 38 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies will put the ball in the right hand of Jerad Eickhoff (2-2, 3.86 ERA, 1.19 WHIP), who’s got 39 punchouts and 15 walks. Eickhoff is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.
St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.62 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.96 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.28, along with a K/9 of 10.47.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .251/.335/.412 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have paced St. Louis’ offense. DeJong is hitting .290/.391/.505 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs and 41 runs scored. Goldschmidt (.271/.363/.449) is up to 11 homers, 26 RBIs and 36 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.14 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .260/.321/.527 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have led the Phillies’ hitters this year. Hernandez is hitting .305/.362/.485 with six home runs, 27 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Segura’s line sits at .306/.352/.473 with five homers, 23 RBIs and 35 runs.
The Cardinals have lost 3.1 units and are 25-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 11.1 units and are 22-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 22 which went under the total.
Cardinals at Phillies MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in just two of St. Louis’ last seven outings.
- The Cardinals have lost four of their last five games SU while the Phillies have won five of their last six.
- St. Louis has posted 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.0 over its last five.
- The Cardinals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 17 over their last 10.
- The Cardinals have a team OPS of .747 this season and an OPS of .753 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .753 overall and .736 versus righties.
