The struggling Miami Marlins will try to avoid losing their sixth straight game as they play host to the St. Louis Cardinals at Marlins Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will showcase this NL matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins Odds
The Cardinals are 32-32 SU and have gone 32-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.5 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 0.3 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 23-41 SU and 30-33 ATS. The team’s lost 3.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.8 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Marlins games have had an over/under record of 29-32-2 thus far in 2019. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 28-31-4.
The right-handed Dakota Hudson is the projected starter for St. Louis. Hudson is 4-3 with a 3.70 ERA and 45 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the right hand of Elieser Hernandez (0-0, 9.00 ERA), who has zero strikeouts and one walks this season as well as a 2.50 WHIP. Hernandez did not record a start against the Cardinals in 2018.
Miami’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.05 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
Miami’s offense has put up 3.5 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 1.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .203/.259/.291 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.
Third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Anderson is slashing .242/.326/.379 with seven home runs, 27 RBIs and 21 runs scored, and Castro is batting .229 with four homers, 27 RBIs and 19 runs.
In the visiting dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.35 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.13, along with a WHIP of 1.39.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .245/.326/.405 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
St. Louis’ hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong, who collectively have swatted 22 home runs. Goldschmidt is slashing .272/.359/.440 with 12 home runs, 27 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while DeJong (.270/.367/.481) has produced 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 44 runs scored.
The Cardinals have lost 3.1 units and are 27-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 26 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 4.8 units and are 19-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, compared to 25 that went under.
Cardinals at Marlins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- St. Louis has logged 10 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Miami has 13 XBH over its last five.
- The Cardinals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
- The Cardinals have an OPS of .731 this season and an OPS of .744 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .644 overall and .645 against righties.
- St. Louis has recorded 16.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.0 over its last five.
