Paul DeJong and the St. Louis Cardinals are ready to take on their divisional rival Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field in a Sunday night game. The action can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 7:08 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cardinals are 31-31 SU and have gone 32-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 2.6 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 36-27 SU and 29-33 ATS. The team’s gained 1.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.8 units ATS. Chicago has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Cubs games have an over/under record of 33-27-2 so far in 2019. St. Louis has an over/under record of 27-30-4.
The right-handed Adam Wainwright is the probable starter for the visiting Cardinals. Wainwright is 5-5 with a 4.34 ERA and 59 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 4.15 ERA against Chicago this year (two starts).
The Cubs are putting the ball in the right hand of Kyle Hendricks (6-4, 3.16 ERA), who has 71 punchouts and 14 walks this season as well as a 1.10 WHIP. Hendricks is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against St. Louis this year.
St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.41 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.70 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.17, along with a K-per-9 of 10.36.
The Cardinals offense has slashed .247/.328/.408 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
St. Louis’ offensive production has been fueled by shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. DeJong is slashing .275/.372/.489 with 10 home runs, 29 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Goldschmidt (.268/.358/.438) is up to 12 homers, 27 RBIs and 38 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 3.67 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.10 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 23 divisional games, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.75 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.36.
The Chicago hitters have put up 5.2 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .253/.331/.442 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Shortstop Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have paced the Cubs’ hitters this year. Baez is hitting .304/.345/.584 with 16 home runs, 44 RBIs and 42 runs scored, and Rizzo’s line is .281/.396/.552 with 16 homers, 44 RBIs and 41 runs scored.
The Cardinals have lost 2.1 units and are 27-23 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 1.2 units and are 24-27 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under.
Cardinals at Cubs Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- St. Louis has tallied seven extra-base hits over its last five outings. Chicago has 18 XBH over its last five.
- The Cardinals have lost three of their last four games SU while the Cubs have won five of their last six.
- Chicago has posted 19.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.
- The Cardinals have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 11 over their last 10.
- The Cardinals have a total OPS of .736 this season and an OPS of .749 against right-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS stands at .800 overall and .815 against righties.
