The St. Louis Cardinals are paying a visit to Atlanta to play the Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Midwest will broadcast this NL showdown and the game is slated to get underway at 7:20 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves Odds
St. Louis (-115) is entering this one as the favorite over Atlanta (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total now stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Cardinals -1.5 runs (+130) and Braves +1.5 runs (-150).
The Cardinals have gone 22-19 SU this year and are 23-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early portions of the season, despite having gained 6.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 21-20 SU and 19-22 ATS. The team’s lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 3.0 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the under has hit in three of those seven.
Braves games have a 21-17-3 over/under record so far in 2019. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 21-17-3.
The right-handed Jack Flaherty is projected to start for St. Louis. Flaherty is 3-3 with a 4.32 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 9.64 ERA and six strikeouts across 4.2 innings).
The Braves are putting the ball in the right hand of Mike Foltynewicz (0-2, 5.94 ERA, 1.44 WHIP), who’s got 10 strikeouts and five walks. Foltynewicz made two starts against the Cardinals in 2018, compiling a 1-1 record with a 5.59 ERA.
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.40, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
Atlanta’s hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .271/.306/.435 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led the Braves’ hitters so far. Freeman is slashing .308/.403/.526 with seven home runs, 23 RBIs and 28 runs scored, and Albies has put up a line of .269/.316/.451 with seven homers, 20 RBIs and 29 runs.
For the visiting squad, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.35 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.16, along with a WHIP of 1.36.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .260/.342/.421 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
St. Louis’ hitters have been led by shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, who have combined to belt 17 home runs. DeJong is slashing .321/.408/.564 with seven home runs, 19 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Goldschmidt is hitting .270/.350/.479 with 10 homers, 23 RBIs and 28 runs scored.
The Cardinals have gained 2.3 units and are 20-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have lost 2.1 units and are 15-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve gone under.
Cardinals at Braves Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in three of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- The Cardinals have a total OPS of .763 this season and an OPS of .785 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS sits at .776 overall and .759 against righties.
- The Cardinals have dropped five of their last six games SU.
- St. Louis has posted 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.2 over its last five.
- The Cardinals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 11 over their last 10.
