The streaking Cincinnati Reds will go for their fifth straight win as they play host to the St. Louis Cardinals at Estadio de Beisbol Monterrey. The action is going to be televised nationally on ESPN and the game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET.
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds Odds
St. Louis (-120) is entering this game as the favorite against Cincinnati (+110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this day game at 10.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Runline odds stand at +125 for taking the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -145 for the Reds +1.5.
The Reds are 5-8 straight up (SU) and 6-6 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 4.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.2 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Cardinals have gone 8-6 SU this year and are 9-4 against the spread. In total, the team’s gained 2.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 5.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 3-9 so far in 2019. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 8-4-1.
Miles Mikolas (1-1, 6.19 ERA) is getting the nod for the visiting Cards. The right-handed Mikolas started 32 games last year while finishing the season 18-4 overall with a 2.83 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. He made three starts against Cincinnati in 2018 and compiled a 2-0 record against the Reds with a 2.50 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
The Reds are turning to righty Anthony DeSclafani (0-1, 6.75 ERA), who struck out 108 hitters across 114 innings last year (21 starts), while finishing the season 7-8 overall with a 4.93 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. He made three starts against the Cardinals a year ago and compiled a 1-1 record with a 7.50 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 2.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 2.65, a WHIP of 1.13 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.3. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.91, a WHIP of 1.47 and a K/9 of 8.4. In 10 games against NL Central foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 3.29 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.82.
Cincinnati’s offense has put up 3.6 runs per contest, including 2.6 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .266/.352/.576 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Suarez is hitting .282/.417/.564 with 11 hits, six RBIs and four runs scored, and Votto is hitting .250 with 11 hits, two RBIs and eight runs.
For the visitors, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.40 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.67 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.21, along with a K-per-9 of 8.61.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .236/.318/.431 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
St. Louis’ hitters have been led by shortstop Paul DeJong and second baseman Kolten Wong. DeJong is slashing .316/.381/.614 with 18 hits, eight RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Wong is hitting .311/.418/.667 with 14 hits, four homers, nine RBIs and nine runs scored.
The Cardinals have gained 2.2 units and are 7-3 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 4.7 units and are 6-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in three of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under.
Cardinals at Reds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- St. Louis has tallied 17 extra-base hits over its last five games. Cincinnati has 21 XBH over its last five.
- The Cardinals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 16 over their last 10.
- St. Louis has recorded 20.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.6 over its last five.
