Southern University Jaguars at Alabama State Hornets Free Prediction 02/22/20

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The Alabama State Hornets (8-17, 7-5 SWAC) and the Southern University Jaguars (11-15, 8-5 SWAC) face off at Dunn-Oliver Acadome. The Hornets look to prolong their five-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 22, 2020.

Southern University Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornets ATS Odds

Both teams were triumphant in their last game. The Hornets edged the Alabama A&M Bulldogs 61-58, while the Jaguars easily got past the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils 95-62.

Southern University dominated every facet of the game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 51.3 (above their season average of 32.0) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.507 (above their season average of 0.482). Mississippi Valley State put up marks of 28.3 and 0.333, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Alabama State’s free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Alabama A&M. The Hornets had a rate of 0.600 (above their season average of 0.214), while the Bulldogs posted a mark of 0.208 (below the 0.239 mark opponents have averaged against Alabama State this season). Leon Daniels played a key role for Alabama State with 19 points and eight rebounds. Meanwhile, Darius Williams had a good game for Southern University, finishing with 11 points and 12 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Williams led the Jaguars to an 80-71 win. He produced 14 points and six rebounds. Southern University had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.716 vs. 0.519). Alabama State, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (25.8 vs. 15.8).

It could be a tough game for Alabama State on the offensive glass. The Hornets are among the NCAA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 285th in offensive rebounding percentage at 24.8 percent. Meanwhile, Southern University ranks 85th in the country at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 74.2 percent.

Southern University Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornets Free Pick

Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Alabama State, ATS Winner – Alabama State, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Southern University ranks 27th in rebounds allowed per game (31.4) while Alabama State ranks 206th (36.2).
  • The Jaguars average 6.4 steals per game, which ranks 133rd in the NCAA. The Hornets rank 182nd in steals allowed per game (7.2).
  • The Jaguars rank 22nd in assists allowed per game (10.2) while the Hornets rank 190th (13.6).
  • Alabama State ranks 176th in three pointers attempted per game (21.1) while Southern University ranks 276th (17.5).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Jaguars have scored an average of 74.8 points per game (8.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 65.2 points per game (1.5 below their season average).
  • The Hornets have outscored opponents by an average of 10.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Alabama State has been defeated by an average of 9.7 points.