Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres Free Preview

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The Seattle Mariners will head south to take on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and this interleague matchup will be televised on both RTNW and FSSD.

Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres Odds

Seattle (-135) is favored against San Diego (+125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Runline odds stand at +110 for betting the Mariners -1.5 runs and -130 for the Padres +1.5 runs.

The Mariners are 74-57 SU and are 66-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 13.9 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 4.2 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 50-83 SU and 62-71 ATS. They’ve lost 19.0 units for moneyline bettors and 29.1 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Neither side has been a strong over/under bet this year. San Diego games have an over/under record of 64-64-5 in 2018. The Mariners have an over/under record of 64-65-2.

Felix Hernandez will get the nod for Seattle. The right-handed Hernandez (8-11, 5.64 ERA) has racked up 107 strikeouts in 135.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jacob Nix (1-2, 6.17 ERA), who has seven strikeouts and five walks to his name, as well as a 1.63 WHIP. Nix did not pitch in the majors last season.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.25, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 3.55 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

The San Diego offense has put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .239/.267/.380 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that span.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have led the charge for the Padres’ offense this year. Hosmer is hitting .252/.315/.390 with 13 home runs, 55 RBIs and 58 runs scored, and Galvis has produced a line of .242/.297/.374 with 11 homers, 56 RBIs and 48 runs.

In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.33 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.76 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.96, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 8.93.

Mariners hitters have slashed .256/.317/.410 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Mitch Haniger have paced Seattle’s offense. The speedy Segura is slashing .314/.345/.433 with nine home runs, 58 RBIs, 80 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Haniger (.281/.368/.486) has produced 22 homers, 83 RBIs and 70 runs scored.

The Mariners have gained 17.1 units and are 44-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 5.3 units and are 46-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 40 of those games, as opposed to 47 that’ve cashed the under.

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • The Padres have lost six of their last seven games SU.
  • Seattle has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.