The Seattle Mariners will be squaring off against the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. This interleague matchup gets going at 3:40 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on both RTNW and FSSD.
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres Odds
The Mariners are 74-58 SU and have gone 66-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 13.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having lost 4.2 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 51-83 SU and 62-71 ATS. They’ve lost 19.0 units for moneyline bettors and 29.1 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Neither team has been an obvious over/under bet this season. Padres games have an over/under record of 64-64-5 in 2018. Seattle has an over/under record of 64-65-2.
Erasmo Ramirez is getting the nod for Seattle. The right-handed Ramirez (1-2, 4.56 ERA) has racked up 18 punchouts in 25.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres will turn to lefty Joey Lucchesi (6-7, 3.74 ERA), who’s got 105 strikeouts and 35 walks to his name as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Lucchesi did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
San Diego’s pitching staff has yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 5.20 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.54 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.
The San Diego hitters have put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .243/.275/.387 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have led the Padres’ batters this year. Hosmer is slashing .250/.313/.387 with 13 home runs, 55 RBIs and 58 runs scored, and Galvis has put up a line of .241/.295/.371 with 11 homers, 56 RBIs and 48 runs.
In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.32 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.79 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.95, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 8.91.
Mariners hitters have slashed .256/.316/.410 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Mitch Haniger have paced Seattle’s hitters. The speedy Segura is slashing .315/.347/.438 with nine home runs, 58 RBIs, 80 runs and 19 stolen bases. Haniger is slashing .281/.368/.484 with 22 homers, 83 RBIs and 70 runs scored.
The Mariners have lost 3.2 units and are 22-21 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 5.3 units and are 46-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 40 of those games, compared to 47 which went under the total.
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER
- Seattle has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Diego has 13 XBH over its last five.
- San Diego has recorded 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.2 over its last five.
- The Mariners have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.