The New York Yankees will play host to the Seattle Mariners at Yankee Stadium. This AL showdown starts at 6:35 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on either RTNW or YES.
Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees Odds
Vegas is listing Seattle (+145) as the underdog to New York (-155). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -150 for the Mariners +1.5 runs and +130 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.
The Yankees are 19-14 straight up (SU) and 16-16 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.4 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Mariners have gone 19-17 SU this year and are 21-14 against the spread. In total, the team’s accumulated 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early part of the season and 4.9 units ATS. Seattle is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Yankees games have an over/under record of 18-14 thus far in 2019. Mariners games have gone over 24 times, gone under eight times and pushed on three instances.
Felix Hernandez is getting the nod for the Mariners. The right-handed Hernandez is 1-2 with a 4.31 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 0-0 record with a 2.00 ERA and eight strikeouts.
The Yankees are turning to CC Sabathia (1-1, 2.66 ERA). Sabathia has 16 punchouts and six walks, along with a 1.03 WHIP. Sabathia only made one start against the Mariners in 2018 (0-0, 3.60 ERA and four strikeouts across five innings).
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.53, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.24 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.
New York’s hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .221/.314/.356 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Yankees’ hitters have been led by shortstop Gleyber Torres and second baseman DJ LeMahieu. Torres is hitting .271/.304/.450 with five home runs, 16 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while LeMahieu is hitting .315 with 34 hits, 17 RBIs and 18 runs.
In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.16 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.23 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.92, along with a K-per-9 of 9.91.
Mariners hitters have slashed .248/.334/.471 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Seattle’s hitters have been led by outfielder Domingo Santana and shortstop Tim Beckham, who have already combined to drive in 50 runs. Santana is slashing .268/.331/.444 with six home runs, 30 RBIs and 16 runs scored. Beckham (.282/.346/.540) is up to seven homers, 20 RBIs and 20 runs scored.
The Mariners have lost 0.8 units and are 4-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to zero that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 5.0 units and are 13-14 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 11 that went under.
Mariners vs. Yankees Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in just one of Seattle’s last seven games.
- The Mariners have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Mariners have a team OPS of .805 this season, including an OPS of .812 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS sits at .784 overall and .763 against southpaws.
- New York has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.4 over its last five.
