Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers Matchup

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Domingo Santana and the surging Seattle Mariners will be taking on the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in a Thursday showdown. This interleague showdown starts at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on RTNW and FSWI.

Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Las Vegas has Milwaukee (-165) as the favorite over Seattle (+155). The total currently stands at 10.5 runs and bettors can play the over for -115 and the under for -105. This game currently has a runline of Mariners +1.5 (-140) and Brewers -1.5 (+120).

The Mariners have gone 37-47 SU this year and are 42-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.3 units ATS. Seattle’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 42-38 SU and 37-42 ATS. The team has lost 1.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 36-40-3 so far in 2019. Seattle has been a solid over bet with a total record of 56-22-5.

Right-hander Mike Leake is the probable starter for the visiting Mariners. Leake is 7-6 with a 4.54 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Brewers are putting the ball in the right hand of Chase Anderson (3-2, 4.70 ERA), who has 55 strikeouts and 21 walks as well as a 1.39 WHIP. Anderson did not record a start against the Mariners in 2018.

Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.42 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 6.78 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.11, along with a K-per-9 of 9.15.

Mariners hitters have slashed .247/.329/.455 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Left fielder Domingo Santana and catcher Omar Narvaez have led Seattle’s hitters. Santana is slashing .282/.351/.505 with 17 home runs, 60 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Narvaez (.293/.371/.471) has produced 11 homers, 29 RBIs and 39 runs scored.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 5.10 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

Milwaukee’s offense is putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .232/.332/.452 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas have led the Brewers’ hitters this year. Yelich is hitting .332/.426/.723 with 29 home runs, 63 RBIs, 63 runs and 17 stolen bases, and Moustakas has produced a line of .280/.356/.584 with 23 homers, 49 RBIs and 50 runs.

The Mariners have lost 1.0 units and are 32-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 4.3 units and are 26-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 28 of those games, as opposed to 25 that’ve cashed the under.

Mariners at Brewers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • Seattle has logged 23 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Milwaukee has 19 XBH over its last five.
  • The Mariners have won six of their last seven games SU.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 15 over their last 10.
  • The Mariners have a total OPS of .785 this season and an OPS of .781 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .780 overall and .780 against righties.