Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners will take on the Cleveland Indians in a Saturday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and this AL matchup will be televised on either RTNW or STOh.

Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Indians Odds

Seattle (receiving +165) is entering this game as the underdog to Cleveland (-175) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Mariners +1.5 runs (-135) and Indians -1.5 runs (+115).

The Indians are 17-13 straight up (SU) and 14-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.2 units ATS. The Mariners have gone 18-16 SU this year and are 19-14 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 4.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 2.9 units ATS.

Cleveland games have a 13-16 over/under record so far in 2019. Seattle has been a great over bet with a total record of 23-7-3.

Mike Leake will get the start for the visiting Mariners. The right-handed Leake is 2-3 with a 4.98 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Cleveland this year.

The Indians will put the ball in the right hand of Carlos Carrasco (2-3, 5.86 ERA), who has 41 strikeouts and seven walks as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Carrasco is 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Seattle this year.

Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.64, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.7. The bullpen has a 3.25 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

Cleveland’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .215/.269/.337 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Indians’ offense has been led by first baseman Carlos Santana and right fielder Leonys Martin. Santana is slashing .314/.426/.480 with four home runs, 17 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Martin’s line is .214/.307/.393 with 24 hits, five homers, eight RBIs and 18 runs scored.

For the visitors, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.29 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.36 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.98, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K-per-9 of 9.66.

The Mariners offense has slashed .246/.334/.463 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Left fielder Domingo Santana and second baseman Dee Gordon have led Seattle’s hitters. Santana is slashing .275/.340/.457 with six home runs, 30 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Gordon (.304/.331/.400) is up to two homers, 17 RBIs, 12 runs and nine steals.

The Mariners have gained 5.5 units and are 15-10 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 3.5 units and are 12-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in nine of those games, compared to 13 that went under the total.

Mariners vs. Indians Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in five of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • The Mariners have an OPS of .797 this season and an OPS of .786 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .638 overall and .655 versus righties.
  • Cleveland has posted 17.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.0 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 14 over their last 10.