Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Preview

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Domingo Santana and the Seattle Mariners will head east to Progressive Field to play the Cleveland Indians. This AL matchup begins at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on both RTNW and STOh.

Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (-150) is the favorite against Seattle (+140) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). There’s a runline of Mariners +1.5 (-155) and Indians -1.5 (+135) for this matchup.

The Indians are 16-13 straight up (SU) and 14-15 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.2 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 18-15 SU and have gone 19-14 against the spread. Overall, the team’s gained 4.7 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the season and 2.9 units ATS. Seattle is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Cleveland games have had an over/under record of 13-16 so far in 2019. Seattle has been a great over bet with a total record of 23-7-3.

Southpaw Yusei Kikuchi is the probable starter for Seattle. Kikuchi (1-1, 4.54 ERA) has racked up 25 strikeouts in 33.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Cleveland this year.

The Indians are turning to righty Shane Bieber (2-1, 3.68 ERA), who’s got 34 strikeouts and 11 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.06. Bieber is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Seattle this year.

Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.41 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.14 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.97, along with a K/9 of 9.72.

The Mariners offense has slashed .247/.336/.465 on its way to 5.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Outfielder Domingo Santana and second baseman Dee Gordon have led Seattle’s offense. Santana is slashing .284/.349/.470 with six home runs, 30 RBIs and 16 runs scored. Gordon (.297/.325/.396) is up to two homers, 17 RBIs, 12 runs and eight stolen bases.

For the home team, Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.75, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.7. The bullpen has a 3.30 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

Cleveland’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .235/.293/.418 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Indians’ hitters have been led by first baseman Carlos Santana and right fielder Leonys Martin. Santana is hitting .323/.432/.495 with four home runs, 17 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Martin’s line sits at .213/.309/.389 with 23 hits, five homers, eight RBIs and 16 runs.

The Mariners have gained 5.5 units and are 15-10 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 4.6 units and are 2-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to three that went under the total.

Mariners vs. Indians MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Seattle has tallied nine extra-base hits over its last five games. Cleveland has 13 XBH over its last five.
  • Seattle fielders have 14 errors over the last 10 games, compared to only four errors for Cleveland over its last 10.
  • The Mariners have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • The Mariners have a total OPS of .801 this season and an OPS of .791 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS sits at .644 overall and .653 versus righties.