Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox Free Preview

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The Boston Red Sox will welcome the Seattle Mariners to Fenway Park in Game 0 of their doubleheader. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and this AL matchup will be shown on RTNW and NESN.

Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox Odds

The Mariners are 20-22 SU and are 24-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.3 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 3.5 units ATS. Seattle’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 21-19 SU and 16-23 ATS. The team’s lost 10.8 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Red Sox games have a 22-16-1 over/under record so far in 2019. The Mariners have also been a strong over bet with a total record of 28-10-3.

The southpaw Marco Gonzales is getting the nod for the visiting Mariners. Gonzales (5-1, 3.08 ERA) has recorded 39 strikeouts in 52.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 5.06 ERA against Boston this year.

The Red Sox are turning to Hector Velazquez (0-2, 4.03 ERA). Velazquez has 19 strikeouts and 10 walks, along with a 1.39 WHIP. Velazquez is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Seattle this year.

As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.76, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.

The Boston offense has produced 5.2 runs per contest, including 7.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .243/.346/.446 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Red Sox batters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and outfielder J.D. Martinez. Devers is hitting .326/.402/.444 with 47 hits, 20 RBIs, 25 runs and five stolen bases, while Martinez’s line is .308/.387/.466 with five homers, 21 RBIs and 22 runs.

For the visitors, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.47 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 6.87 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.21, along with a WHIP of 1.30.

Mariners hitters have slashed .245/.329/.465 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Seattle’s offensive production has been led by left fielder Domingo Santana and second baseman Dee Gordon, who’ve collectively blasted 11 home runs. Santana is slashing .287/.352/.506 with eight home runs, 36 RBIs and 21 runs scored. Gordon (.304/.336/.406) is up to three homers, 19 RBIs, 14 runs and 10 stolen bases.

The Mariners have gained 5.2 units and are 20-10 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 7.2 units and are 2-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in six of those games, as opposed to four which went under the total.

Mariners at Red Sox MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in three of Boston’s last seven games.
  • The Mariners have a total OPS of .793 this season and an OPS of .799 against right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .758 overall and .762 versus righties.
  • The Mariners have lost five of their last six games SU while the Red Sox have taken seven of their last eight.
  • Boston has recorded 27.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.0 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 20 over their last 10.