Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

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The Seattle Mariners will take on the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. This AL showdown will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the game.

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Seattle (-145) is entering this one as the favorite over Baltimore (+135) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the games spread with the current runline odds sitting at +100 for the Mariners -1.5 runs and -120 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Orioles are just 23-54 straight up (SU) and 28-48 against the spread (ATS). The teams lost 28.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 25.6 units (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Mariners have gone 48-31 SU this year and are 40-38 ATS. Overall, the teams accumulated 14.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 0.8 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have a 32-42-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Mariners games have gone over 40 times, gone under 37 times and pushed on one occasion.

The left-handed James Paxton is getting the start for the visiting Mariners. Paxton (6-2, 3.72 ERA) has racked up 124 punchouts in 96.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Orioles are handing the ball to righty Kevin Gausman (3-6, 4.38 ERA), who has 84 strikeouts and 24 walks, as well as a 1.39 WHIP. Gausman only made one start against the Mariners in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and six strikeouts across seven innings).

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.23 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The Baltimore offense has produced 3.7 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .203/.268/.385 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones have led the way for the Orioles offense this year. Machado is slashing .305/.375/.559 with 19 home runs, 55 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Jones has produced a line of .290/.315/.450 with 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 32 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.12 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.89 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.95, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 10.10.

Mariners hitters have slashed .259/.324/.420 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Seattle’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Dee Gordon. The speedy Segura is slashing .331/.359/.475 with six home runs, 44 RBIs, 52 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Gordon (.289/.310/.355) is up to one homers, 20 RBIs, 36 runs and 20 steals.

The Mariners have gained 14.8 units and are 26-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 5.5 units and are 11-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of Seattle’s last seven outings.
  • Baltimore has recorded 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.