Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

betdsiArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners will take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. This AL matchup will get going at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to New England Sports Network to catch the action.

Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Boston (-250) as the favorite over Seattle (+225). The total sits at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. The games most recent runline odds stand at +100 for betting the Mariners +1.5 runs and -120 for the Red Sox -1.5.

Both teams have been good to bettors this year this year. The Red Sox are 51-27 straight up (SU) and 43-34 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 12.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.8 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 47-30 SU and have gone 39-37 ATS. In total, the teams accumulated 13.6 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 0.8 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Boston games have an over/under record of 37-38-2 thus far in 2018. The Mariners have an over/under record of 40-35-1.

Marco Gonzales is getting the nod for Seattle. The southpaw Gonzales is 7-4 with a 3.80 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Red Sox will turn to lefty Chris Sale (6-4, 2.74 ERA) to the mound. Sale has 140 punchouts and 27 walks to his name, as well as a 0.94 WHIP. Sale only made one start against the Mariners in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and 11 strikeouts across seven innings).

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.07 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.90 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.04, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 10.09.

Mariners hitters have slashed .261/.325/.424 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

Seattle’s offense has been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. The speedy Segura is slashing .334/.359/.480 with six home runs, 44 RBIs, 52 runs and 14 steals, while Gordon has a .291 average with one homers, 18 RBIs, 35 runs and 19 stolen bases.

For the home team, Boston’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.78 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.16, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 9.7.

The Boston offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The teams hit .295/.365/.437 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Red Sox offense has been led by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi. Martinez is hitting .326/.394/.642 with 23 home runs, 60 RBIs and 52 runs scored, and Benintendi’s line is .295/.380/.530 with 13 homers, 50 RBIs, 55 runs and 12 stolen bases.

The Mariners have lost 1.3 units and are 13-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 2.8 units and are 8-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs cashed in eight of those games, compared to 10 that went under the total.

Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in only two of Boston’s last seven games.
  • Boston has posted 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.2 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 11 home runs over their last 10 games.