Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels Free Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, Major League Baseball

The Los Angeles Angels are trying to avoid their fourth straight loss as they play host to the Seattle Mariners at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. The matchup starts at 10:07 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on either RTNW or FSW.

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels Odds

Los Angeles (-110) is hosting this one as the favorite over Seattle (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -210 for the Mariners +1.5 runs and +175 for the Angels -1.5.

The Mariners have gone 13-8 SU this year and are 12-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 7.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 3.8 units ATS. Seattle’s covered the spread just once over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Angels, on the other hand, are 8-10 SU and 10-7 ATS. The team has lost 0.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.6 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have a 4-12-1 over/under record so far in 2019. The Mariners have been a decent over bet with a total record of 14-4-2.

The right-handed Felix Hernandez will get the start for the visiting Mariners. Hernandez is 1-1 with a 4.38 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA against Los Angeles this year.

The Angels are turning to righty Chris Stratton (0-1, 5.54 ERA), who’s got seven punchouts and 10 walks, in addition to a 2.00 WHIP. Stratton is 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA in one start against Seattle this year.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 5.76, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.82, a WHIP of 1.16 and a K/9 of 9.8. In 13 games against AL West opponents, Angels starters have an ERA of 5.86 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.74.

The Los Angeles hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .211/.314/.329 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Andrelton Simmons and Mike Trout have led the Angels’ offense so far. Simmons is hitting .229/.239/.314 with 16 hits, eight RBIs and five runs scored, while Trout is batting .366 with five homers, 12 RBIs and 11 runs.

For the visitors, Seattle’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.79 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 6.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.52, along with a K-per-9 of 9.63.

The Mariners offense has slashed .264/.339/.502 on its way to 6.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Outfielders Domingo Santana and Mitch Haniger have led Seattle’s hitters. Santana is slashing .337/.406/.535 with four home runs, 24 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Haniger (.271/.312/.576) has produced five homers, 15 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

The Mariners have gained 5.5 units and are 10-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to four that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 2.6 units and are 8-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to seven which went under the total.

Mariners vs. Angels MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Seattle has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Los Angeles has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • The Mariners have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Angels have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • Los Angeles has posted 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.2 over its last five.
  • The Angels have dropped four of their last five games SU.