San Jose State Spartans vs. Utah State Aggies Free Prediction 02/25/20

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The Utah State Aggies (22-7, 11-5 MWC), 22-point favorites, close out their home schedule at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum against the San Jose State Spartans (7-21, 3-13 MWC). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 147.5 points and it can be seen on ESPN2 at 11 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 25, 2020.

San Jose State Spartans at Utah State Aggies Betting Odds

In the Spartans’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Colorado State Rams, 78-71, but they did cover as 16-point underdogs. The Spartans, on the other hand, dismantled the Wyoming Cowboys,78-58, but were not able to cover as 21-point favorites. The San Jose State game finished 7 points under the projected point total of 156, while the Utah State game finished 6 points over the projected point total of 130.

Utah State dominated nearly every facet of the contest. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.6 (below their season average of 31.7) and a free throw rate of 0.268 (below their season average of 0.280). For those same stats, Wyoming was 10.5 and 0.140, respectively. San Jose State, on the other hand, forced Colorado State into a turnover percentage of 22.3 (above their season average of 16.4). Utah State was led by Justin Bean, who had 20 points and 14 rebounds. Seneca Knight played well for San Jose State, recording 37 points.

In their first matchup this season, Bean led the Aggies to a 71-59 win. He notched a double-double with 18 points and 14 rebounds. The two teams combined for 130 points, which was well under the projected point total of 149, and Utah State was unable to cover as a 22.5-point favorite. The Aggies’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Spartans. Utah State had a rate of 8.6, while San Jose State posted a mark of 21.2.

Oddsmakers have a tendency to place the total low when the Spartans are involved, as 59.3 percent of their games have ended over the total. San Jose State heads into the contest with records of 7-21 straight up (SU) and 13-14 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to San Jose State, Aggies games have typically finished under the total (55.6 percent). Utah State is 22-7 SU, but they are just 12-15 ATS.

The Spartans’ Knight has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 23 points,6.6 rebounds,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Sam Merrill has averaged 22 points,5.8 assists during that same time frame for the Aggies.

The prolific offense of Utah State will battle against the porous defense of San Jose State. The Aggies currently rank 30th in offensive efficiency, while the Spartans are 332nd in defensive efficiency. The Aggies figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. Additionally, the Spartans, who rank 276th in offensive rebounding percentage (25.2 percent), might struggle to get put-back points against the Aggies, who rank eighth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.7 percent).

San Jose State Spartans at Utah State Aggies Odds Pick

College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Utah State, ATS Winner – Utah State, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Utah State ranks 11th in rebounds per game (40.5) while San Jose State ranks 273rd in rebounds allowed per game (40.0).
  • The Spartans rank 28th in blocks allowed per game (2.5) while the Aggies rank 114th (3.3).
  • Utah State averages 6.2 steals per game, which ranks 141st in the NCAA. San Jose State ranks 190th in steals allowed per game (7.3).
  • The Aggies average 16.4 assists per game, which ranks ninth in the country. The Spartans rank 268th in assists allowed per game (18.6).
  • San Jose State ranks 17th in three pointers attempted per game (27.6) while Utah State ranks 238th in three pointers allowed per game (24.0).
  • San Jose State is 6-7 ATS on the road, while Utah State is 7-6 ATS at home.
  • Of the Spartans’ 13 road games, they have 7 overs and 6 unders.
  • The Aggies have 8 unders and 5 overs in 13 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, San Jose State and Utah State are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Spartans have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Aggies have 3 unders and 2 overs
  • The Spartans’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.6, up from 10.1 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Aggies have scored an average of 72.6 points per game (3.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 60.8 points per game (3.0 below their season average).