San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

betdsiArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Francisco Giants will be taking on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. This NL matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio to catch the game.

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Cincinnati (+120) is the home-team underdog to San Francisco (-130) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +115 for the Giants -1.5 runs and -135 for the Reds +1.5.

The Giants are 61-62 SU and have gone 68-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 7.6 units for moneyline bettors and 12.9 units ATS. The Reds, on the other hand, are 53-69 SU and 69-52 ATS. The team has lost 6.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.6 units ATS.

Reds games have had an over/under record of 64-53-4 in 2018. San Francisco has been a decent under bet with a total record of 55-62-5.

Madison Bumgarner is getting the nod for the visiting Giants. The left-handed Bumgarner is 4-4 with a 2.71 ERA and 67 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Reds will put the ball in the right hand of Matt Harvey (5-7, 5.19 ERA, 1.32 WHIP), who has 84 strikeouts and 29 walks. Harvey is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA in one start against San Francisco this year.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.23, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.9 K/9.

The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .249/.309/.410 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the Reds’ batters this year. Gennett is slashing .309/.359/.485 with 18 home runs, 70 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Peraza’s line is .287/.330/.394 with six homers, 39 RBIs, 63 runs and 18 stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.15 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.21 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.61, along with a WHIP of 1.36.

Giants hitters have slashed .248/.314/.385 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

San Francisco’s offensive production has been fueled by right fielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford, who collectively have belted 25 home runs. McCutchen is slashing .257/.355/.417 with 14 home runs, 53 RBIs and 59 runs scored, while Crawford (.271/.342/.424) is up to 11 homers, 45 RBIs and 52 runs scored.

The Giants have gained 5.0 units and are 41-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have netted 5.5 units and are 20-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 12 which went under the total.

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in only two of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • Cincinnati has recorded 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.
  • The Giants have hit three home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit seven over their last 10.