San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

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The Cincinnati Reds are set to host the San Francisco Giants at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio will broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 12:35 p.m. ET.

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Vegas has listed Cincinnati (-140) as the favorite over San Francisco (+130). If you think the game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -115 odds. Picking the over will give you -105 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -170 for the Giants +1.5 runs and +150 for the Reds -1.5 runs.

The Giants are 15-19 SU and have gone 13-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.3 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 13.7 units ATS. San Francisco is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 14-20 SU and 20-13 ATS. They’ve lost 3.8 units for moneyline bettors while earning 5.3 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Reds games have an over/under record of 9-23-1 so far in 2019. The Giants have an over/under record of 14-17-2.

Left-hander Drew Pomeranz is the probable starter for the visiting Giants. Pomeranz is 1-3 with a 4.08 ERA and 31 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Reds are turning to Anthony DeSclafani (1-1, 3.48 ERA). DeSclafani has 36 strikeouts and 12 walks, along with a 1.16 WHIP. DeSclafani only made one start against the Giants in 2018 (0-0, 1.17 ERA and five strikeouts across 7.2 innings).

Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 3.5 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.32 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.79 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

Cincinnati’s offense is putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .207/.292/.454 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Reds’ offense has been led by Jose Iglesias and Jesse Winker. Iglesias is slashing .295/.337/.411 with 28 hits, seven RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Winker is hitting .243 with nine homers, 15 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.71 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.62 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.11, along with a WHIP of 1.27.

Giants hitters have slashed .218/.278/.353 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

San Francisco’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Steven Duggar and catcher Buster Posey. Duggar is hitting .270/.308/.393 with three home runs, 16 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Posey is slashing .257/.315/.426 with two homers, 13 RBIs and 10 runs scored.

The Giants have lost 0.3 units and are 7-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 10 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.9 units and are 4-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in zero of those games, compared to five which went under the total.

Giants at Reds MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in four of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • The Giants have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
  • The Giants have a total OPS of .631 this season and an OPS of .642 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .681 overall and .673 versus righties.
  • Cincinnati has recorded 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.
  • The Giants have won three of their last four games SU.