San Francisco 49ers vs. Washington Redskins – Week 7 Free Betting Pick

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The San Francisco 49ers (-10) are making a cross-country trip to square off against the Washington Redskins at FedEx Field. Kickoff for this matchup is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to FOX.

Betting Preview: Washington Redskins vs. San Francisco 49ers

In this Sunday NFC matchup, San Francisco is projected as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 10 points. The 49ers are also receiving -475 moneyline odds while the Redskins are +325. If one squad can create a bunch of points early it would create a nice in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 41.5 points.

The game’s total has moved lower after opening at 43. The original line (10) has yet to change.

The profitable 49ers are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 5.3 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 1-4.

The Redskins have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 3.0 units. The team is 1-5 ATS and has an even O/U record of 3-3.

The 49ers are 5-0 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Redskins are 1-5 SU.

The Niners are hoping to remain unbeaten after a 20-7 win over the Rams in Week 6. Jimmy Garoppolo completed 24-of-33 passes for 243 yards and one interception. Tevin Coleman (just 45 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) and Matt Breida (36 yards on 13 carries) provided the ground attack while George Kittle (eight receptions, 103 yards) and Breida (four catches, 27 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Washington just put together a 17-16 win over Miami last week. Case Keenum completed 13-of-25 passes for 166 yards and two touchdowns. Adrian Peterson (118 rushing yards on 23 attempts) spearheaded the running attack as Terry McLaurin (four receptions, 100 yards, two TDs) and Trey Quinn (two catches, eight yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

San Francisco has run the ball on 57 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Washington has a rush percentage of 37.2 percent. The 49ers have produced 179.8 rush yards/game and have eight scores on the ground this year. The Redskins are putting up 81.5 rushing yards per game and have two total rush TDs.

It appears that the 49ers ought to own an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their running backs has generated 4.6 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 4.1 to opponents. The Redskins have recorded 4.0 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.

The Niners offensive scheme has tallied 235.8 yards per game in the air overall and has seven passing TDs so far. The Redskins have produced 227.5 pass yards per contest and have nine total pass scores.

Defensively, San Francisco seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 87.2 rush yards and 175.4 pass yards per game. The Washington defense has given up 267.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 134.0 yards per game on the ground. The Niners are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.15 to opponents, while the Redskins have given up a 6.37 ANY/A.

Offensively, Garoppolo is up to 982 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 82-of-117 attempts with five scores through the air and five interceptions. He has a 6.85 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.03 over the last two outings.

We’re looking for 49ers to maintain the pace by pounding the defense with their running backs. Along with George Kittle (268 yards), Matt Breida (262 rush yards, 58 receiving yards) and Tevin Coleman (68 rush yards, one rush TD) have been focal points in the San Francisco offensive scheme.

In the other locker room, Case Keenum has completed 105-of-160 passes for 1,136 yards, nine TDs and four INTs. Keenum’s ANY/A stands at 6.38 for the year and 8.24 over his last two games.

The Redskins will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Adrian Peterson (22 receiving yards), Terry McLaurin (357 receiving yards and five receiving TDs) and Steven Sims Jr. (17 rush yards) have gotten plenty of touches lately.

San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Redskins, ATS Winner: Redskins, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The 49ers offense has tallied one pass play of 40 yards or more, while the Redskins have accounted for two such plays.
  • Both teams have allowed three pass plays of 40 yards or more. The San Francisco defense has given up five pass plays of 30+ yards while Washington has given up seven such plays.
  • The San Francisco offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Washington has created two such runs.
  • The 49ers defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Redskins have given up five such runs.
  • The San Francisco defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 17 times this season. Washington has produced 14 sacks.
  • San Francisco, as a team, has produced 4.5 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.6 over its last two.
  • Washington has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.5 over its past two.
  • In its last three matches, Washington is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • The Over/Under for San Francisco’s last game was set at 50.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-7 win over the Rams.
  • Over its last three matches, San Francisco is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Washington’s previous match was 42.5. The under cashed in the team’s 17-16 victory over Miami.