San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks – Week 17 Free Pick

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In the final week of the 2019 regular season, the Seahawks (+3) are gearing up to welcome their NFC West nemesis San Francisco 49ers (-3) to Seattle. This pivotal Sunday Night Football matchup kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and you can watch the action on NBC.

Betting Preview: San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks

In this Sunday NFC game, San Francisco is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The 49ers are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Seahawks are +130. It appears that there might be some good live betting opportunities while this contest is underway, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 47 points.

The early action has moved in favor of the 49ers, as the line opened at 0. The game’s over/under hasn’t changed after it was initially set at 47.

Each of these teams has been profitable this year as the 49ers have recorded 4.0 units while the Seahawks are up 3.5 units.

The 49ers have gone 12-3 straight up (SU), including 4-1 SU against NFC West opponents. The Seahawks are 11-4 SU overall and 3-2 SU versus divisional foes.

The Niners enter after a 34-31 victory over the Rams last week. The passing attack could’ve been sharper as Jimmy Garoppolo completed 16 passes for 248 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Raheem Mostert (53 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack while George Kittle (five receptions, 79 yards, one TD) and Deebo Samuel (four catches, 31 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

In Week 16, Arizona knocked off this Seattle team by a score of 27-13. Russell Wilson completed 16-of-31 passes for 169 yards and one touchdown. Chris Carson (40 rushing yards on eight attempts) handled the running game as Homer (six receptions, 26 yards) and Jacob Hollister (five catches, 64 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

San Francisco has run the ball on 51 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Seattle has a rush percentage of 48.6 percent. The 49ers have produced 145.1 rush yards per game (including 88 per game against West opponents) and have 20 scores on the ground this year. The Seahawks are averaging 138.3 rushing yards per game (125.2 in conference) and have 14 total rush TDs.

It seems like the 49ers should hold an advantage along both the offensive and defensive fronts. Their offensive line has yielded just 48 sacks while their D-line logged 37 sacks. The Seahawks, on the other hand, have given up 51 sacks and their defense has generated only 43 sacks.

The Niners offensive scheme has averaged 249.6 yards in the air overall (296 per game against conference opposition) and has 28 passing TDs so far. The Seahawks have recorded 258.5 pass yards per game (231 in the NFC) and have 29 total pass scores.

San Francisco appears to have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to run for an average of 111.8 yards and pass for 189.4 yards per game. The Seattle defense has allowed 274.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 117.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Niners are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.49 to opponents, while the Seahawks have given up a 6 ANY/A.

Offensively, Garoppolo is up to 3,493 passing yards this season, and has connected on 69 percent of his 420 attempts with 26 scores through the air and 13 interceptions. He’s got a 7.09 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 5.26 over the last two outings.

We expect the San Francisco offense to mix it up in this one. George Kittle, Raheem Mostert and Deebo Samuel have combined for 421 total yards and four touchdowns over the last two outings.

In the home locker room, Russell Wilson has managed to complete 296-of-450 passes for 3,591 yards, 27 TDs and five INTs. Wilson’s ANY/A stands at 7.29 for the year and 7.30 over his last two games.

Similar to the 49ers, expect a balanced approach offensively from Seattle this Sunday. Chris Carson, Tyler Lockett and Jacob Hollister have collectively accounted for 416 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns the last two games.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks Free Betting Pick

SU Winner: Seahawks, ATS Winner: Seahawks, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The San Francisco defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 47 times this season. Seattle has produced just 26 sacks.
  • The Seattle offense has lost 14 fumbles in 2019 while the San Francisco offense has lost 10.
  • The 49ers offense has created seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Seahawks have accounted for 10 such plays.
  • Both defenses have allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards. The San Francisco defense has given up nine pass plays of 30+ yards while Seattle has permitted 19 such plays.
  • The San Francisco offense has created 15 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Seattle has created 12 such runs.
  • The 49ers defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Seahawks have given up 11 such runs.
  • The O/U for Seattle’s last game was set at 48.5. The under cashed in the 27-13 defeat to Arizona.
  • Over its last three games, Seattle is 0-2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • Over its last three games, San Francisco is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • The Over/Under for San Francisco’s previous game was set at 46. The over cashed in the team’s 34-31 victory over the Rams.
  • As a team, San Francisco has averaged 5.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.8 over its last two.
  • Seattle has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.5 over its last two.