San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks: Free Week 13 Betting Pick

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The San Francisco 49ers (+10) are flying north to face their NFC West nemesis Seattle Seahawks at CenturyLink Field. This late afternoon matchup gets underway at 4:25 p.m. ET and FOX is scheduled to have the TV rights.

Betting Preview: Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers

In this Sunday NFC game, Seattle has been labeled as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 10 points. The 49ers are also receiving +310 moneyline odds while the Seahawks are -440. This NFC matchup should provide several decent live betting possibilities, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 46.5 points.

The line opened at -10 while the total has yet to move since being initially placed at 46.5.

The disappointing 49ers are 3-8 against the spread (ATS) and are down 8.5 units so far. The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 6-5.

The Seahawks have gained 1.5 units this season. The team is 6-3-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 5-6.

The 49ers have gone 2-9 straight up (SU), including 0-3 SU against NFC West opponents. The Seahawks are 6-5 SU overall and 1-2 SU against divisional foes.

San Francisco comes into this matchup on a two-game winning streak while Seattle has come up short in each of its last two. The Niners could be on its last limbs after an 18-point defeat to Tampa Bay in Week 12 where the defense allowed the Buccaneers to pass for 312 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 108 yards. Mike Evans had a productive day for the Buccaneers in that one with 116 yards on six catches. On the offense, Nick Mullens completed just 18 passes on 32 attempts for 221 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Matt Breida (106 rushing yards on 14 attempts) led the ground attack while George Kittle (six receptions, 48 yards) and Dante Pettis (four catches, 77 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Seattle enters this one having just earned a 30-27 win over Carolina in Week 12. The Seahawks defense allowed the Panthers to run for 220 yards on 27 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Christian McCaffrey torched the defense, putting up 125 rushing yards and a score on 17 attempts, along with 112 yards on 11 catches for Carolina. For Seattle, Russell Wilson completed 22-of-31 passes for 339 yards and two touchdowns. Chris Carson (55 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running game as Tyler Lockett (five receptions, 107 yards, one TD) and Doug Baldwin (five catches, 39 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

San Francisco has run the ball on 46.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Seattle has a rush percentage of 53.2 percent. The 49ers have produced 134.9 rush yards per game (including 120.3 per game versus West opponents) and have six scores on the ground this year. The Seahawks are totaling 147.1 rush yards per game (211.3 in conference) and have eight total rushing TDs.

It appears that the 49ers might hold an advantage when it comes to RB efficiency. Their running backs has produced 4.8 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents. The Seahawks have tallied 4.6 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.3 to opponents.

The Niners offensive scheme has logged 245.7 yards per contest in the air overall (236.3 per game against conference opposition) and has 18 passing scores so far. The Seahawks have put up 230.1 pass yards per outing (182 against NFC competition) and have 25 total pass TDs.

San Francisco has allowed opponents to run for an average of 102.7 yards and pass for 262.1 yards per game. The Seattle defense has allowed 253.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 121.4 yards per game on the ground. The Seahawks are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.38 to opposing QBs, while the 49ers have allowed a 7.37 ANY/A.

Offensively, Mullens has put up 483 passing yards this season, and has completed 63 percent of his 54 attempts with four scores through the air and two interceptions. He has a 7.69 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 4.05 over the last two outings.

Look for a balanced attack offensively from San Francisco in this one. Matt Breida, George Kittle and Dante Pettis have collectively accounted for 502 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns as a trio over the last couple of outings.

On the other sideline, Russell Wilson has completed 185-of-278 passes for 2,306 yards, 23 TDs and five INTs. Wilson’s ANY/A sits at 7.51 for the season and 9.06 over his last two outings.

Tyler Lockett, David Moore and Chris Carson have collectively accounted for 483 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last two outings.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks Free NFL Pick

SU Winner: Seahawks, ATS Winner: Seahawks, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • Seattle has lost four fumbles this season while San Francisco has lost eight.
  • The Seattle defense has sacked opposing QBs 28 times this year. San Francisco has registered 26 sacks.
  • San Francisco has produced 4.9 yards per carry across its past three games and 5.1 over its last two.
  • Seattle has averaged 5.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.9 over its past two.
  • In its last three games, Seattle is 2-0-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • The O/U for San Francisco’s last game was 54.5. The under cashed in the team’s 27-9 loss to Tampa Bay.
  • Over its last three matches, San Francisco is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Seattle’s last match was set at 47. The over cashed in the 30-27 victory over Carolina.
  • San Francisco has lost nine of its last 10 games SU, with a 31-point win over Oakland on November 1st accounting for the only victory over that stretch.