San Diego State Aztecs vs. Air Force Falcons Free Prediction 01/12/19

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The San Diego State Aztecs (9-6, 1-1 MWC) will be at Clune Arena to take on the Air Force Falcons (5-10, 0-3 MWC) in a MWC matchup. Action begins at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019, and can be seen on ESPN 3.

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Air Force Falcons ATS Odds

In their last game, the Falcons lost big to the Colorado State Rams, 87-64, while the Aztecs had no trouble getting past the Wyoming Cowboys, 84-54.

San Diego State dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.9 (below their season average of 30.9) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.614 (above their season average of 0.525). For those same stats, Wyoming recorded marks of 13.2 and 0.413, respectively. Air Force, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.558 vs. 0.629). Air Force’s Lavelle Scottie had a solid performance, recording 20 points and five rebounds. Meanwhile, Jalen McDaniels played a key role for San Diego State with 22 points and 12 rebounds.

The Aztecs dominated this series last year, taking both contests. In the most recent contest, San Diego State won 67-56. San Diego State’s free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Air Force. The Aztecs had a rate of 0.167, while the Falcons posted a mark of 0.019. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

San Diego State figures to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Aztecs currently rank 73rd in offensive efficiency, while Air Force ranks 284th in defensive efficiency.

San Diego State at Air Force Free Pick

Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Air Force, ATS Winner – Air Force, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • San Diego State ranks 49th in assists per game (15.8) while Air Force ranks 171st in assists allowed per game (14.4).
  • The Aztecs rank 139th in steals per game (5.7) while the Falcons rank 173rd in steals allowed per game (8.5).
  • San Diego State is 32nd in the country with 2.5 blocks allowed per game while Air Force is 41st with 2.7 blocks allowed per game.
  • The Aztecs rank 149th in rebounds per game (35.7) while the Falcons rank 233rd (32.2).
  • San Diego State averages 22.3 three pointers per game, which ranks 141st in the nation. Air Force ranks 198th in three pointers allowed per game (24.6).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Aztecs have scored an average of 72.8 points per game (3.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 73.0 points per game (2.5 above their season average).
  • The Falcons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.2, up from 5.2 for the season.