San Diego State Aztecs at Nevada Wolf Pack ATS Prediction 02/29/20

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The Nevada Wolf Pack (19-10, 12-5 MWC) welcome the fifth-ranked San Diego State Aztecs (27-1, 16-1 MWC) to Lawlor Events Center as the regular season comes to a close. Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 29, 2020, and can be seen on ESPN2.

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Odds

Both teams were victorious over their last opponent. The Wolf Pack defeated the Wyoming Cowboys 73-68, while the Aztecs beat the Colorado State Rams 66-60.

San Diego State played a perfect game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.315 (above their season average of 0.217) and a turnover percentage of 16.0 (worse than their season average of 14.4). Colorado State recorded marks of 0.245 and 18.8, respectively, for those same stats. The Wolf Pack, on the other hand, held the Cowboys to an offensive rebounding percentage of 5.4 (below their season average of 14.8) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.516 vs. 0.482). Nevada was lifted by Jalen Harris, who had 23 points and seven rebounds. Malachi Flynn, meanwhile had a solid performance for San Diego State, finishing with 17 points and six rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Yanni Wetzell led the Aztecs to a 68-55 win. He notched a double-double with 17 points and 16 rebounds. The Aztecs’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Wolf Pack. San Diego State had a rate of 32.4, while Nevada posted a mark of 25.0.

This matchup pits one of the country’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Nevada currently ranks 58th in offensive efficiency and San Diego State ranks fifth in defensive efficiency. Moreover, the Aztecs rank 33rd in turnover percentage (16.5 percent), while the Wolf Pack rank 349th in opponents’ turnover percentage (15.2 percent).

San Diego State Aztecs at Nevada Wolf Pack ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Nevada, ATS Winner – Nevada, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • San Diego State ranks 96th in three pointers attempted per game (23.5) while Nevada ranks 288th in three pointers allowed per game (26.7).
  • The Aztecs allow the second-fewest blocks per game (1.9) while the Wolf Pack rank 35th (2.6).
  • Nevada ranks 14th in steals allowed per game (4.8) while San Diego State ranks 41st (5.5).
  • The Aztecs rank 39th in rebounds allowed per game (31.9) while the Wolf Pack rank 180th (35.9).
  • San Diego State averages 15.0 assists per game, which ranks 32nd in the NCAA. Nevada ranks 127th in assists allowed per game (12.4).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Wolf Pack have scored an average of 83.2 points per game (5.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 74.8 points per game (2.9 above their season average).
  • The Aztecs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.6, down from 16.5 for the season.